Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/7/26

Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State Prediction

In this Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State prediction, Arkansas State is coming as -15.5 home favorites. Arkansas State has been the better team this season and in far better form, as they have back-to-back wins, they are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 games and have been almost perfect at home, with just one loss in four home games. On the flip side, Louisiana-Monroe has been having a terrible season, having won only once in its 8 games played so far and having the 5^th-worst defense in the entire country, with an atrocious -16.8 point differential. Do not overthink this one and take the better team in better form playing at home. Take Arkansas State and lay the -15.5 points.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview

Arkansas State has a 4-4 record and a 2-2 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 38-32 home win against Georgia State and will face Coastal Carolina and Louisiana Tech next.

Offensively, Arkansas State averages 28.8 points per game, ranking 69th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.2 points per game, which is 97th. Arkansas State averages 378.9 total yards per game (242.5 passing and 136.4 rushing), while allowing 386.0 total yards per game (195.5 rushing and 190.5 passing) . They average 62.3 plays per game and 6.1 yards per play on offense, while allowing 61.6 plays per game and 6.3 yards per play on defense. Arkansas State averages 21.3 first downs per game on offense and 19.8 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.0 times per game and are forcing 1.6 turnovers per game.

Trey Owens leads Arkansas State with 1,940 passing yards with 68.2% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Solomon Baggett leads the team in rushing yards with 306, while Jaylen Bonelli has a team-high 452 receiving yards and 31 receptions. Defensively, Joe Drew has a team-high 74 total tackles (38 of them solo), while Robert Stevens III leads the team with 2.0 sacks.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Preview

Louisiana-Monroe has a 1-7 record and a 1-3 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 21-35 home loss against Southern Miss and will face Louisiana and App State next.

Offensively, Louisiana-Monroe averages 20.2 points per game, ranking 122nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 37.0 points per game, which is 134th. Louisiana-Monroe averages 332.1 total yards per game (210.4 passing and 121.8 rushing), while allowing 434.8 total yards per game (222.5 rushing and 212.3 passing) . They average 66.1 plays per game and 5.0 yards per play on offense, while allowing 69.9 plays per game and 6.2 yards per play on defense. Louisiana-Monroe averages 18.3 first downs per game on offense and 20.9 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.4 times per game and are forcing 0.8 turnovers per game.

Aidan Armenta leads Louisiana-Monroe with 1,323 passing yards with 61.5% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Austin Carlisle leads the team in rushing yards with 252, while Marcellus Jackson has a team-high 348 receiving yards and 33 receptions. Defensively, Noah Flemmings has a team-high 76 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Kevontay Wells leads the team with 3.0 sacks.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks @ Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 14 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas State has won 13 of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Centennial Bank Stadium.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games against teams from Louisiana.
• Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas State has won the first half in each of its last seven games as a favorite against teams from Louisiana.

Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win

• Arkansas State has lost six of its last eight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has won each of Louisiana-Monroe’s last three games.
• Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in six of Louisiana-Monroe’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Arkansas State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at Centennial Bank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Three of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games as a road underdog against Arkansas State have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Chauncy Cobb leads Arkansas State for receptions (35) this season.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Marcellus Jackson leads Louisiana-Monroe for receiving yards (348) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas State ranks T13th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (9).
• Arkansas State ranks T15th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.1).
• Louisiana-Monroe ranks 134th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (37.0).
• Louisiana-Monroe ranks 134th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (19.8).