Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas State Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks
Texas State Bobcats (4-4) vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (5-3)
November 9, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +7 / Texas State Bobcats -7; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas State Bobcats and UL Monroe Warhawks meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Malone Stadium. Here’s a Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas State Prediction. This article will include a Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas State Pick.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats lost to Old Dominion and Louisiana, and they play Southern Miss next. Texas State has lost 4 of its last 5 road games. Jordan McCloud is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 1,979 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Joey Hobert and Jaden Williams have combined for 995 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Kole Wilson has 27 receptions.
The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 185 yards per contest, and Ismail Mahdi leads the way with 728 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 22.6 points and 352.8 yards per game. Jordan Polk leads the Texas State Bobcats with 49 tackles, Steven Parker has 5 sacks and Bobby Crosby has 1 interception.
UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview
The UL Monroe Warhawks lost to South Alabama and Marshall, and they play Auburn next. The UL Monroe Warhawks have won 4 straight home games. Aidan Armenta is completing 58.2 percent of his passes for 779 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Jake Godfrey and Davon Wells have combined for 392 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Javon Campbell has 8 receptions.
The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 176.9 yards per contest, and Ahmad Hardy leads the way with 811 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 24.3 points and 368.4 yards per game. Wydett Williams Jr. leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 64 tackles, Billy Pullen has 5 sacks and Car’lin Vigers has 1 interception.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last seven games in November.
- The favorite has won each of the last nine games between Texas State and Louisiana-Monroe.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games in November.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between Texas State and Louisiana-Monroe.
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 29 of its last 37 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the last six games between Texas State and Louisiana-Monroe have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (118).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (129.9).
- Texas State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (11.5).
- Texas State ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+8.1).
Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas State Prediction
The Texas State Bobcats were supposed to make a run at a conference title, but here they are with a .500 record, back to back losses and a defense that can get scored on. The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks can clinch a bowl berth with a victory, and they’ve covered 7 of their last 10 games. Louisiana-Monroe is also 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a home underdog, and 7 of those covers were outright wins. Give me the free touchdown.
