College Football

Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

Liberty Flames (4-6) vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-5)
November 22, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -105 / Liberty Flames -115; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Preview

Louisiana Tech has a 5-5 record this season and is sitting 6th in the CUSA. They are 6-4 ATS, 3-7 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 1-4 away record. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 28-3 road loss against Washington State and will face Missouri State next.

Offensively, Louisiana Tech averages 25.6 points per game, ranking 79th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19.8 points per game, which is 24th. Louisiana Tech averages 346.2 total yards per game (181.0 passing and 165.2 rushing), while allowing 367.7 total yards per game (129.9 rushing and 237.8 passing).

Blake Baker leads Louisiana Tech with 1,251 passing yards with 65.8% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. Clay Thevenin leads the team in rushing yards with 516, while Eli Finley has a team-high 31 receptions for 365 receiving yards. Defensively, Jacob Fields has a team-high 72 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Mekhi Mason leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Jakari Fields has a team-high 4 interceptions.

Liberty Flames Preview

Liberty has a 4-6 record this season and is sitting 7th in the CUSA. They are 3-7 ATS, 4-6 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 1-4 away record. Liberty is coming off a 34-27 road loss against Florida International and will face Kennesaw State next.

Offensively, Liberty averages 23.7 points per game, ranking 97th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.6 points per game, which is 64th. Liberty averages 374.7 total yards per game (199.3 passing and 175.4 rushing), while allowing 362.1 total yards per game (161.8 rushing and 200.3 passing).

Ethan Vasko leads Liberty with 1,820 passing yards with 58.4% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Evan Dickens leads the team in rushing yards with 684, while Donte Lee Jr. has a team-high 31 receptions for 572 receiving yards. Defensively, Derrell Farrar has a team-high 58 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Brenton Williams leads the team in sacks, with 3.

Liberty Flames @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 13

 

Why the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will win

  • Liberty has lost four of its last five games as a road favorite.
  • Louisiana Tech has won five of its last six home games.
  • Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in each of its last four November games as a home underdog.
  • Liberty has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a road favorite.
  • Louisiana Tech has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
  • Louisiana Tech has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

  • Louisiana Tech has lost 15 of its last 16 games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has won eight of Louisiana Tech’s last nine games at Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in five of Louisiana Tech’s last six games at Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium.
  • Louisiana Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
  • Liberty has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Liberty has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Louisiana Tech’s last 10 games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Liberty’s last three games against teams from Louisiana have gone OVER the total points line.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 13, Jakari Foster ranks T9th amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.

Liberty Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 13, Evan Dickens is one of only 18 players in the FBS to record 100+ rushing yards in three or more consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisiana Tech ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (15).
  • Louisiana Tech ranks T6th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (33.3).
  • Liberty ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
  • Liberty ranks T17th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (9.0).

Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction

In this Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Liberty is coming as -1.5-point road favorites. Both teams are coming into this matchup in poor form, as Louisiana Tech is 1-4 in its last 5 games and Liberty has back-to-back losses. Louisiana Tech has been better both offensively and defensively and have been almost perfect at home with a 4-1 record. I like them as home dogs in this spot, so take Louisiana Tech on the moneyline for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Louisiana Tech ML

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