College Football

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks

Pittsburgh Panthers (7-3) vs. Louisville Cardinals (6-4)
November 23, 2024 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisville Cardinals -8.5 / Pittsburgh Panthers +8.5; Over/Under: +57.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Panthers and Louisville Cardinals meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Here’s a Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction. This article will include a Louisville vs Pittsburgh Pick.

Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Panthers lost to Virginia and Clemson, and they play Boston College next. Pittsburgh has won 2 of its last 3 road games. Eli Holstein is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 2,174 yards, 17 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Konata Mumpfield and Desmond Reid have combined for 1,154 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Kenny Johnson has 37 receptions.

The Pittsburgh Panthers ground game is averaging 144.4 yards per contest, and Reid leads the way with 738 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 25 points and 359.9 yards per game. Donovan McMillon leads the Pittsburgh Panthers with 84 tackles, Kyle Louis has 7 sacks and Brandon George has 1 interception.

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

The Louisville Cardinals beat Clemson, lost to Stanford, and they play Kentucky next. Louisville has won 3 of its last 5 home games. Tyler Shough is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 2,774 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Ja’Corey Brooks and Chris Bell have combined for 1,437 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Ahmari Huggins-Bruce has 18 receptions.

The Louisville Cardinals ground game is averaging 163 yards per contest, and Isaac Brown leads the way with 803 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Louisville is allowing 25.6 points and 372.8 yards per game. Ty Quinn leads the Louisville Cardinals with 66 tackles, Tramel Logan has 4 sacks and T.J. Capers has 1 interception.

Why the Louisville Cardinals will win

  • Pittsburgh has lost each of its last four games in November.
  • The home team has won each of the last four games between Pittsburgh and Louisville.
  • Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games as a road underdog.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in four of Louisville’s last five games at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
  • Louisville has won the first half in six of its last eight home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Pittsburgh’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Louisville’s last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisville ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (9.9).
  • Louisville ranks T10th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.2).
  • Pittsburgh ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (11.6).
  • Pittsburgh ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+6.9).

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction

The Louisville Cardinals are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but they just lost to Stanford as three touchdown favorites. You can argue the Pittsburgh Panthers are the better, more balanced team, and they’re 7-3 ATS on the season. Not sure how anybody can see what Louisville did last week and return to lay more than a touchdown. The gap between Louisville and Pitt isn’t that wide. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Panthers +8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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