Vanderbilt Commodores (6-4) vs. LSU Tigers (6-4)
November 23, 2024 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: LSU Tigers -8 / Vanderbilt Commodores +8; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an LSU vs Vanderbilt prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
The LSU Tigers are 6-4 (3-3) this year after they lost to Florida by a score of 27-16 in their last game. LSU led 13-10 in the third quarter, but they allowed 17 of the last 20 points in the game for the loss. The Tigers outgained Florida by a total of 392-339, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 13-24 on third down in the game. Garrett Nussmeier threw for 260 yards and one touchdown, while Aaron Anderson caught seven passes for 72 yards and one score.
Prior to that loss, the Tigers lost to Alabama by a score of 42-13 and Texas A&M by a score of 38-23. The LSU offense has scored 29.1 points per game with 316.3 passing yards and 115.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.1 points per game this season. Garrett Nussmeier has completed 62.1% of his passes for 3,126 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Kyren Lacy has caught 49 passes for 740 yards and seven scores.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-4 (3-3) this season after they lost to South Carolina by a score of 28-7 in their last game. Vanderbilt cut the deficit to 14-7 in the third quarter, but they allowed the last 14 points in the loss. The Commodores were outgained by a total of 452-274, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Diego Pavia threw for 166 yards on 16 completions, while also rushing for 65 yards and one touchdown in the loss.
Prior to that game, the Commodores defeated Auburn by a score of 17-7 but did lose to Texas before that. The Vandy offense has scored 28 points per game with 187.2 passing yards and 144.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.7 points per game this season. Diego Pavia has completed 60.6% of his passes for 1,843 yards, 15 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Eli Stowers has caught 42 passes for 557 yards and four scores.
Why LSU will beat Vanderbilt
- LSU has won each of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Tiger Stadium.
- Vanderbilt has lost 38 of its last 43 games against conference opponents.
- LSU has covered the spread in each of its last four November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has lost the first half in 36 of its last 43 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of LSU’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- LSU ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (316.7).
- LSU ranks 8th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (49.3).
- Vanderbilt ranks 8th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (94.4).
- Vanderbilt ranks T16th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (5.0).
LSU vs Vanderbilt Prediction
LSU comes into this matchup trying to snap a three-game losing streak and they will be at home for this game. The Tigers have one of the better passing attacks in the country, but they have only scored 16 and 13 points in their last two games. Vanderbilt was one of the best stories to start the season, but they have dropped two of their last three games. The Commodores have a very good defense, but their offense has been a little inconsistent recently. I don’t like what I have seen from this LSU team over the last few weeks, but I do think Nussmeier and the offense will bounce back at home. Take LSU.
