Marshall vs Arkansas State Prediction Football Picks 11-25-23

Marshall vs Arkansas State Prediction Football Picks 11-25-23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Marshall Thundering Herd meet Saturday in college football action from Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Arkansas State last appeared in a matchup versus Texas State over the weekend. In that one the 6-5 Red Wolves took a ridiculous blowout win. As for Marshall, they’re fresh off a matchup versus South Alabama. The Herd would go on to lose in a shutout, falling to 5-6 overall. Make sure to check out our Arkansas State vs Marshall Prediction.

Arkansas State Red Wolves 

The Red Wolves managed to go just .500 over their first 10 games this year. Part of that sketchy record was due to a tepid 23.5 points per game average and 27 total touchdowns in that time. Arkansas State averaged 222.2 yards per game on passes with 14 TDs and seven interceptions. On the ground, the Red Wolves put up 149.2 yards per game and 12 scores. 

Last weekend versus Texas State, the Red Wolves scored 21 points in the second quarter and 28 more in the third on the way to a mind-boggling 77-31 blowout win. QB Jaylen Raynor threw for 196 yards, but the real stars were Ja’Quez Cross (139 yards; 3 TDs), Zak Wallace (65 yards; 2 TDs) and Cedric Hawkins (35 yards; 2 TDs) on the ground. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Team Facts

  • Arkansas State has lost 14 of its last 16 road games against conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arkansas State has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • Each of Arkansas State's last six November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.


Marshall Thundering Herd 

Over on the Marshall side, they didn’t fare much better on the scoreboard during their own .500 run across their first 10 games. The Herd averaged 24.4 points per game in that stretch with 230.9 yards per game, nine TDs and 14 picks through the air. Marshall averaged 129.0 yards per game on rushing plays with 3.7 yards per carry and 17 more scores. 

The Herd took on South Alabama back on Saturday. In that game Marshall was down 21-0 at the break and didn’t get any closer during a rough loss 28-0. QB Cole Pennington posted 159 yards and three interceptions. Leading the rush was Rasheen Ali’s 55 yards. Ali also managed four catches for 41 yards which topped the receivers. 

Marshall Thundering Herd Team Facts

  • The home team has won eight of Marshall's last nine games.
  • Marshall has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
  • Marshall has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
  • Nine of Marshall's last 11 games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.


I’m going to stay with Arkansas State. The Red Wolves did pretty much whatever they wanted to on the ground during their blowout win over Texas State. Arkansas State 291 yards rushing (487 total) with 23 first downs and 4-of-8 on third-down tries. The only real blemish was the nine penalties. It was a nice bounce-back from the South Alabama game; the Red Wolves have now scored 34 or more points in three of their last four. 

As for Marshall, they couldn’t get anything going in their weekend loss to South Alabama. The Herd put up just 201 total yards (42 rushing), 10 first downs and the three turnovers. I don’t expect a repeat performance of the bad offensive numbers, but I don’t think the Herd will quite cover in this one. 

Andrew Jett's Free Pick:Arkansas State Red Wolves +2.5