Maryland vs Purdue Prediction Football Picks Today 11/7/26
Maryland Terrapins (2-6) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (3-5)
November 7, 2026 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers -225 / Maryland Terrapins 185; Over/Under: 57.5
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Maryland vs Purdue Prediction
In this Maryland vs Purdue prediction, Purdue is coming as -6.5 home favorites. Both teams have been underwhelming this season and both have been in bad for lately, as Purdue has back-to-back losses and Maryland has been struggling with six straight losses after winning its first two games of the season and is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games. Both defenses has been bad throughout the season, ranking on the bottom-20 of the whole country with 63.7 points per game combined and as a result, they are 12-4 to the over combined this season. Both teams have not shown absolutely no sign or improvement in their bad defensive lines, so a high-scoring game is at hand. Take the over 57.5 points in this one.
Purdue Boilermakers Preview
Purdue has a 3-5 record and a 2-3 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 17-31 road loss against Penn State and will face Iowa and Wisconsin next.
Offensively, Purdue averages 29.5 points per game, ranking 60th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.1 points per game, which is 125th. Purdue averages 379.9 total yards per game (263.4 passing and 116.5 rushing), while allowing 418.6 total yards per game (175.0 rushing and 243.6 passing). They average 65.8 plays per game and 5.8 yards per play on offense, while allowing 63.1 plays per game and 6.6 yards per play on defense. Purdue averages 21.3 first downs per game on offense and 21.6 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.0 times per game and are forcing 1.3 turnovers per game.
Ryan Browne leads Purdue with 1,964 passing yards with 62.0% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Fame Ijeboi leads the team in rushing yards with 588, while Asaad Waseem has a team-high 652 receiving yards and 41 receptions. Defensively, Jojo Hayden has a team-high 59 total tackles (20 of them solo), while Curt Neal leads the team with 2.5 sacks.
Maryland Terrapins Preview
Maryland has a 2-6 record and a 0-5 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 17-20 home loss against Illinois and will face Wisconsin and USC next.
Offensively, Maryland averages 26.9 points per game, ranking 78th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.6 points per game, which is 121st. Maryland averages 366.5 total yards per game (237.9 passing and 128.6 rushing), while allowing 371.6 total yards per game (153.1 rushing and 218.5 passing). They average 66.8 plays per game and 5.5 yards per play on offense, while allowing 65.4 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on defense. Maryland averages 19.9 first downs per game on offense and 20.3 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.1 times per game and are forcing 1.4 turnovers per game.
Malik Washington leads Maryland with 1,805 passing yards with 60.0% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. DeJuan Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 338, while Chris Durr has a team-high 638 receiving yards and 58 receptions. Defensively, Daniel Wingate has a team-high 49 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Zion Elee leads the team with 3.5 sacks.
Maryland Terrapins @ Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Maryland has lost each of its last nine games in November.
- Purdue has won three of its last four November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Maryland has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won the first half in 20 of Purdue’s last 24 games.
Why the Maryland Terrapins will win
- Purdue has lost 21 of its last 23 games against conference opponents.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in three of Purdue’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Purdue’s last six games at Ross-Ade Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Maryland’s last six games against teams from Indiana have gone OVER the total points line.
Purdue Boilermakers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Jacobo Echeverria Lozano leads the Big Ten Conference for field goals made (16) this season.
Maryland Terrapins Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Chris Durr Jr. leads Maryland for receptions (58) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 125th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (32.1).
- Purdue ranks 124th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (418.6).
- Maryland ranks T130th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (95.8).
- Maryland ranks 129th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.5).
