College Football

Massachusetts vs Miami (OH) Prediction Football Picks Today 10/10/26

Miami (OH) Redhawks (2-3) vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (4-1)
October 10, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen 2.5 / Miami (OH) Redhawks -2.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami (OH) RedHawks and UMass Minutemen meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Here’s a Massachusetts vs. Miami (OH) Prediction. This article will include a Massachusetts vs. Miami (OH) Pick.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks beat UConn, lost to Bowling Green, and they play Akron next. The Miami (OH) RedHawks have lost 5 of their last 7 games. David McComb is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,121 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Damarion Witten and Lynel Billups-Williams have combined for 539 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Maleek Huggins has 14 receptions.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks ground game is averaging 100.2 yards per contest, and Rodney Nelson leads the way with 154 yards on 44 carries. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 29.2 points and 400.2 yards per game. Malcolm McCain leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 39 tackles, Tyler Dikos has 2 sacks, and CJ Young has 1 interception.

UMass Minutemen Betting Preview

The UMass Minutemen beat Sacramento State, lost to Eastern Michigan, and they play Buffalo next. Massachusetts has won 4 of its last 5 games. William Watson III is completing 74 percent of his passes for 820 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. T.Y. Harding and Jabari Lewis have combined for 388 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Joseph Griffin Jr. has 8 receptions.

The UMass Minutemen ground game is averaging 177 yards per contest, and Curtis Kimmons IV leads the way with 262 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, UMass is allowing 17.8 points and 308.8 yards per game. Timmy Hinspeter leads the UMass Minutemen with 40 tackles, William DePaepe has 2 sacks, and Jahmad Harmon has 3 interceptions.

Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win

  • Massachusetts has won four of its last five games.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four games between Miami (OH) and Massachusetts.
  • Massachusetts has won the first half in four of its last five games.
  • Massachusetts has won the first quarter in three of its last four games.

Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win

  • Massachusetts has lost each of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
  • The favorite has won 19 of Miami (OH)’s last 20 games.
  • Miami (OH) has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 home games against teams from Ohio.
  • Massachusetts has lost the first half in each of its last four games against teams from Ohio.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Massachusetts’ last seven games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of Miami (OH)’s last 10 games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Jahmad Harmon ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Damarion Witten ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Massachusetts ranks T11th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (6).
  • Massachusetts ranks T12th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
  • Miami (OH) has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Cincinnati.
  • Miami (OH) ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (6.0).

Massachusetts vs Miami (OH) Prediction

Miami (OH) is the better team, and UMass still has some showing and proving to do before we can trust this squad. However, UMass is playing good football right now and has its defense rolling. We just saw Miami (OH) lose to Bowling Green outright as a double-digit favorite. Miami (OH) is lighting it up on either side of the ball and can’t run the football. This is a winnable game for UMass at home. I’ll grab the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen 2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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