College Football

Memphis vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) vs. Memphis Tigers (3-1)
September 28, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Tigers -25.5 / Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +25.5; Over/Under: +61.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Memphis Tigers meet in week 5 college football action from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Memphis vs Middle Tennessee Prediction.

Middle Tennessee Recap

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come into this one looking to snap a three-game losing streak after a 45-17 loss to Duke last time out to drop to 1-3 on the year as a result. After this matchup, Middle Tennessee will head out on the road for a matchup with Louisiana Tech.

Blue Raiders Looking To Right The Ship

Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 1,002 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65.2% passing while Jaiden Credle has a team-high 194 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Omari Kelly leads the Blue Raiders with 18 receptions for 297 yards and 3 touchdowns while Holden Willis has 15 receptions for 258 yards. Myles Butler and Cam’ron Lacy each have 105 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, John Howse IV has a team-high 23 total tackles along with a pair of interceptions while Middle Tennessee’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks this season.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

  • Memphis has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The road team has covered the spread in three of Middle Tennessee’s last four games.

Memphis Recap

The Memphis Tigers come into this one looking to rebound after ending up with a 56-44 loss at the hands of Navy in their last matchup, taking their first L of the year to fall to 3-1 on the year. After this game, Memphis heads to Florida to take on USF.

Tigers Will Try To Regroup

Seth Henigan has thrown for 1,112 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.3% passing while Mario Anderson Jr. has rushed for a team-high 320 yards and 7 touchdowns. Brandon Thomas also has 139 rushing yards and 3 scores as well this season. Roc Taylor has a team-high 17 receptions for 264 yards while Koby Drake also has 17 grabs for 187 yards. Three more Tigers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Chandler Martin has a team-high 29 total tackles including 16 solo tackles and a pair of sacks. As a unit, Memphis’ defense has combined for 10 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won 23 of its last 24 home games in September.
  • Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last seven road games.
  • Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
  • Memphis has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Memphis vs Middle Tennessee Prediction

I’m on the over here. I just think this is going to be a track meet between two teams that can air it out like nobodies business, and two teams that also are susceptible in the secondary. We just saw the Tigers give up 56 points to Navy, and Middle Tennessee’s been hemorrhaging points all season long themselves. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 61.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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