Bowling Green Falcons (0-4) vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks (2-2)
October 3, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami (OH) Redhawks ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Bowling Green Falcons and the Miami-Ohio RedHawks meet Saturday in college football action from Yager Stadium in Oxford. Here’s a Miami-OH vs Bowling Green prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Miami-OH vs Bowling Green pick.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview
Bowling Green has four games completed so far this season. The Falcons’ first outing was a 20-13 loss at home to Tarleton State. Game two was another defeat, this time a blowout road effort 56-7 against Nebraska. Bowling Green kept the skid going with another tough road matchup versus Iowa State, falling in that one 55-7 as the game came to a close.
Last weekend versus South Florida, the Falcons managed a pair of field goals in the first half and held their destiny in their hands by the fourth quarter up 6-0. Bowling Green gave up a couple of touchdowns from there though, and lost the game 14-6. QB Jay Kastantin was 16-of-28 for 122 yards and Austyn Dendy had 18 carries for 48 yards to lead the rush.
Miami-OH RedHawks Betting Preview
Over on the Miami-OH side, they had a tricky road opener this year versus Pittsburgh. The RedHawks didn’t stand much of a chance in that one and lost 59-14. Miami-OH took out their frustrations versus an overmatched Holy Cross team in game two, taking that one 45-7. Game three was another loss however, as the RedHawks fell in a close one 35-31 against Cincinnati.
Matched up against UConn, the RedHawks were down early after giving up a couple of first-quarter TDs but came back to tie it up by halftime. In the fourth quarter Miami-OH was tied 21-21 then hit a field goal to power out the win 24-21. David McComb was 19-of-29 for 312 yards and a pair of scores while also leading the rush on three carries for 33 yards and a TD.
Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends: Week 5
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Scoop Smith ranks 7th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (218) this season.
Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Myles Bradley ranks 5th amongst FBS players for sacks (5.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (OH) ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-9.8).
- Miami (OH) ranks 2nd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+15.0).
- Bowling Green ranks 138th among FBS teams for points per game this season (8.3).
- Bowling Green ranks 138th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (232.0).
Miami-OH vs Bowling Green Prediction
I might take a stab on Bowling Green but I’m probably just not touching this one. The Falcons offense was pretty limp in their near-miss versus USF last weekend, notching just 207 yards, 3.4 yards per play, 14 first downs and 5-of-15 on third-down tries. The D kept the team in it though, giving up just 214 yards (52 passing), 16 first downs and 3-of-10 on third downs alongside two fumble recoveries.
As for Miami-OH, they posted 414 yards and 20 first downs but went just 5-of-13 on third downs in their tight win over UConn. The RedHawks gave up 377 yards on the other side with a couple of takeaways. I could see Miami-OH covering here if the offense is working, but Bowling Green’s defense could keep them in control as well.
