Buffalo Bulls (5-3) vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks (5-3)
November 3, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami (OH) Redhawks -6.5 / Buffalo Bulls 6.5; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Prediction
I considered the points with Buffalo because these are two teams playing well, and it feels like there’s value in the free touchdown. However, the favorite has covered each of the last nine games between Miami (OH) and Buffalo. Also, Miami (OH )’s major weakness is its pass defense, ranked 132nd in the country, but Buffalo has a pass offense ranked 130th.
Miami (OH) is the more trustworthy offensive team overall and has a top-15 run defense, which counters the only strength of the Bulls. Both teams are winning games lately, but Miami (OH) is the sharper team on both sides of the ball. It’s just under a full touchdown. Give me the RedHawks.
Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bulls beat Bowling Green and UMass, and they play Ball State next. Buffalo has won 4 of its last 5 games. Jason Wright is completing 49.7 percent of his passes for 987 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Chance Morrow and Clint Walker have combined for 675 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Dwayne Early Jr. has 15 receptions.
The Buffalo Bulls’ ground game is averaging 175.6 yards per contest, and Messiah Burch leads the way with 845 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25.4 points and 377 yards per game. SaVeon Brown leads the Buffalo Bulls with 67 tackles, Logan Goodwin has 2 sacks, and Kobi Blackwell has 1 interception.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview
The Miami (OH) RedHawks beat Central Michigan and Akron, and they play Ohio next. The Miami (OH) RedHawks have won 4 of their last 5 games. David McComb is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,121 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Maleek Huggins and Damarion Witten have combined for 777 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Lynel Billups-Williams has 23 receptions.
The Miami (OH) RedHawks’ ground game is averaging 141.1 yards per contest, and Rodney Nelson leads the way with 391 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 25.8 points and 364.8 yards per game. Malcolm McCain leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 59 tackles, Roosevelt Andrews III has 4.5 sacks, and CJ Young has 1 interception.
Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win
- Miami (OH) has won each of its last 12 November games as a home favorite.
- Buffalo has lost each of its last four games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- The favorite has covered the spread in 10 of Miami (OH)’s last 11 games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
- Miami (OH) has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games in November.
- The favorite has won the first half in each of the last nine games between Buffalo and Miami (OH).
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Buffalo has won each of its last three games as an underdog in Ohio.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Buffalo has won the first half in each of its last three games as an underdog in Ohio.
- Buffalo has won the first quarter in four of its last five games as an underdog against teams from Ohio.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Miami (OH)’s last seven home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Buffalo’s last six November games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Damarion Witten leads the Mid-American Conference for yards per reception (20.4) this season.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Messiah Burch has recorded 100+ rushing yards in five consecutive games- the longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (OH) has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Cincinnati.
- Miami (OH) ranks 135th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-4.6).
- Buffalo has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (4).
- Buffalo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
