Miami-OH vs Massachusetts Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks

The Umass Minutemen and Miami (OH) RedHawks meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Yager Stadium. Here’s a Miami-OH vs Massachusetts Prediction. This article will include a Miami-OH vs Massachusetts Pick.

Umass Minutemen Betting Preview

The Umass Minutemen lost to Buffalo, beat Central Connecticut, and they play Northern Illinois next. Massachusetts has lost 3 straight road games. Taisun Phommachanh is completing 62 percent of his passes for 844 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jakobie Keeney-James and Jacquon Gibson have combined for 449 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Sterling Galban has 12 receptions.

The Umass Minutemen ground game is averaging 128 yards per contest, and Jalen John leads the way with 183 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Umass is allowing 32.8 points and 298.5 yards per game. Derrieon Craig leads the Umass Minutemen with 19 tackles, Sahnai Swain-Price has 1 sack and Ryan Barnes has 1 interception.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks lost to Cincinnati and Notre Dame, and they play Toledo next. The Miami (OH) RedHawks hope to avoid their first 0-4 start since the 2016 season. Brett Gabbert is completing 55.1 percent of his passes for 685 yards, 5 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Cade McDonald and Reggie Virgil have combined for 413 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Kevin Davis has 11 receptions.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks ground game is averaging 58 yards per contest, and Jordan Brunson leads the way with 67 yards on 18 carries. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 22.7 points and 385.7 yards per game. Matt Salopek leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 26 tackles, Ty Wise has 1 sack and Raion Strader has 3 pass deflections.

Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win

• Massachusetts has lost each of its last 11 games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
• Miami (OH) has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Miami (OH)’s last six games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
• Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 14 road games in September.
• Massachusetts has lost the first half in 29 of its last 31 road games against non-conference opponents.
• Miami (OH) has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at Fred C. Yager Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Miami (OH)’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Massachusetts’ last five September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (OH) ranks 134th among FBS teams for points per game this season (8.3).
• Miami (OH) ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (3.0).
• Massachusetts ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.8).
• Massachusetts ranks 124th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.3).

Miami-OH vs Massachusetts Prediction

The Miami-OH RedHawks may be the worst offensive team in college football, but they also haven’t had the easiest schedule, so I’m not sure how good or bad this team is. Oddsmakers clearly believe Miami-OH is better than what it’s shown up to this point. The Massachusetts Minutemen are the lesser talented team, obviously, but this line feels a bit off. Massachusetts has covered three straight games as a double-digit underdog, and one of those covers was an outright win. There’s much better ways to spend your Saturday, but if forced to pick, give me the points with the Minutemen.