College Football

Miami (OH) vs UConn Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/26

UConn Huskies (2-1) vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks (1-2)
September 26, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami (OH) Redhawks -3.5 / UConn Huskies +3.5; Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The UConn Huskies and the Miami Ohio Redhawks meet in week 4 college football action from Yager Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UConn Huskies vs. Miami Ohio Redhawks Prediction.

UConn Huskies Recap

The UConn Huskies come into this game looking to add on to their 48-20 win over Southern Miss last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, UConn will head home for a game against Syracuse.

Huskies Looking To String Wins Together

Kaleb Osborne has thrown for 635 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception on 65.3% passing while also leading UConn in rushing with 152 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Cam Edwards sits behind Osborne on the ground with 138 yards and 2 TDs. Skyler Porter leads the Huskies in receiving with 123 yards on 6 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Javar Strong trails with 100 yards on 6 catches. On defense, Hayden Pegg has a team-high 21 total tackles, while Kaleb Brown, John Lole, Melvin Hills III, and Ares Luani each have 1 sack. UConn’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.

Miami Ohio Redhawks Recap

The Miami Ohio Redhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 35-31 loss at the hands of Cincinnati last time out to slip to 1-2 this season. After this game, Miami Ohio will take on Bowling Green at home.

Redhawks Looking To Get Back To .500

David McComb has thrown for 809 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception on 62.2% passing while Lazaro Rogers leads Miami (OH) in rushing with 71 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. D’Shawn-Lee Jones III sits right behind Rogers on the ground with 67 yards and 1 TD. Maleek Huggins leads the RedHawks in receiving with 205 yards on 10 catches, while Damarion Witten trails closely with 184 yards on 6 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Malcolm McCain has a team-high 22 total tackles, while Grant Lyons and Tyler Dixon each lead the team with 2 sacks. Miami (OH)’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 0 interceptions so far this season.

Connecticut Huskies @ Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends: Week 4

 

Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win

  • Connecticut has lost each of its last 24 September games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has won each of Miami (OH)’s last 20 games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
  • Miami (OH) has covered the spread in each of its last nine games as a favorite.
  • Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
  • Miami (OH) has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
  • Connecticut has lost the first half in 13 of its last 14 September games as a road underdog.

Why the Connecticut Huskies will win

  • Miami (OH) has lost four of its last five games.
  • Connecticut has won four of its last five games in September.
  • Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
  • Connecticut has won the first half in seven of its last nine games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Miami (OH)’s last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Connecticut’s last six September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 4, Damarion Witten ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (30.7) this season.

Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 4, Kalieb Osborne ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Miami (OH) ranks 138th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (2.0).
  • Miami (OH) ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
  • Connecticut ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
  • Connecticut ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.0).

UConn Huskies vs. Miami Ohio Redhawks Prediction

I’m on UConn and the points here. I think the wrong team is favored as this feels like a prime letdown spot for Miami Ohio following the loss to Cincinnati in a heartbreaker last week after coming so close to the outright upset in a game Miami Ohio had. UConn’s looked solid to this point and I think they’re live to win this game outright. I’ll back UConn in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: UConn Huskies +3.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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