Miami vs South Florida Prediction Football Picks Today 9/13/25

In this article we will formulate a Miami vs South Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 13th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup. 

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Miami Hurricanes are 2-0 this season after they defeated Bethune-Cookman by a score of 45-3 in their last game. Miami led 14-0 after the first quarter and 28-3 at halftime, before cruising to the easy win in the second half. The Hurricanes out gained Bethune-Cookman by a total of 543-191, went 4-6 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0. Carson Beck went 22-24 for 267 yards and two touchdowns, while Emory Williams went 8-12 for 77 yards. Mark Fletcher Jr rushed 11 times for 86 yards and two scores, while Malachi Toney caught six passes for 80 yards in the win. 

Miami picked up a huge win against Notre Dame by a score of 27-24 in week one to start the season. The Hurricanes are averaging 36.0 points per game with 274.5 passing yards and 159.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 13.5 points against per game this season. Carson Beck has completed 76.4% of his passes for 472 yards and four touchdowns, while Mark Fletcher Jr has rushed for 152 yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries. Malachi Toney has led the receivers with 12 catches for 162 yards and one touchdown, while CJ Daniels has added 10 catches for 119 yards and three scores this year. 

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The South Florida Bulls are 2-0 this year after they defeated Florida by a score of 18-16 in their last game. South Florida trailed 3-0 after the first quarter and 9-6 at halftime, but they won the second half by a margin of 12-7 and walked off with a field goal as time expired. The Bulls out gained Florida by a total of 391-355, went 6-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Byrum Brown went 23-36 for 263 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 66 yards on 17 carries. Alvon Isaac rushed for 36 yards on five carries, while Keshaun Singleton caught two passes for 75 yards and one score in the win. 

South Florida opened the season with a ranked win over Boise State by a score of 34-7 in week one. The Bulls are averaging 28.0 points per game with 259.0 passing yards and 122.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 11.5 points against per game this season. Byrum Brown has completed 65% of his passes for 473 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 109 yards and two scores this year. Alvon Isaac has carried the ball eight times for 88 yards, while Keshaun Singleton has caught seven passes for 168 yards and two touchdowns this season. 

Why South Florida will beat Florida

• South Florida has won each of its last three games as an underdog.
• Miami (FL) has lost each of its last three games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
• South Florida has covered the spread in each of its last six road games against AP-ranked teams.
• Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five home games against teams from Florida.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Miami (FL)’s last five games against AP-ranked teams at Hard Rock Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of South Florida’s last four games as an underdog in Florida have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Miami (FL) ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).

David Racey is 20-15 (57%) in College Football this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Miami vs South Florida Prediction 

South Florida comes into this game after beating Florida and Boise State in their first two games, so they will be full of confidence here. The Bulls have played very strong defense to start the season and Brown has been electric at the quarterback spot. Miami beat Notre Dame in their first game and they should be fully focused after watching South Florida knock off Florida last week. This should be a fantastic game to watch, but I can’t go against the Bulls here. I think Byrum Brown will make enough big plays to keep this game close, so give me USF and the points.