Michigan State vs Maryland Prediction Football Picks Today 11/29/25
Maryland Terrapins (4-7) vs. Michigan State Spartans (3-8)
November 29, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -4 / Maryland Terrapins 4; Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Maryland Terrapins and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Ford Field. Here’s a Michigan State vs Maryland Prediction. This article will include a Michigan State vs Maryland Pick.
Maryland Terrapins Betting Preview
The Maryland Terrapins lost to Illinois and Michigan. Maryland has lost 7 straight games. Malik Washington is completing 57 percent of his passes for 2,504 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Shaleak Knotts and Octavian Smith Jr. have combined for 1,078 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jalil Farooq has 48 receptions.
The Maryland Terrapins ground game is averaging 102.8 yards per contest, and DeJaun Williams leads the way with 449 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Maryland is allowing 28 points and 437.2 yards per game. Daniel Wingate leads the Maryland Terrapins with 96 tackles, Sidney Stewart has 7 sacks and Jalen Huskey has 4 interceptions.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans lost to Penn State and Iowa. The Michigan State Spartans have lost 8 straight games. Aidan Chiles is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,392 yards, 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Nick Marsh and Omari Kelly have combined for 1,127 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Chrishon McCray has 22 receptions.
The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 131.3 yards per contest, and Makhi Frazier leads the way with 520 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 33.1 points and 401 yards per game. Jordan Hall leads the Michigan State Spartans with 82 tackles, Jalen Thompson has 2.5 sacks and Armorion Smith has 1 interception.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Maryland has lost each of its last eight games in November.
- The favorite has won each of Maryland’s last seven games.
- Maryland has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in November.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Maryland’s last four games.
- Maryland has lost the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
Why the Maryland Terrapins will win
- Michigan State has lost each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Maryland has won each of its last three games as an underdog at neutral venues.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in 12 of Michigan State’s last 13 games.
- Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last four games at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Maryland’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Michigan State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Ryan Eckley ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (48.6) this season.
Maryland Terrapins Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Malik Washington ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.4%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks T120th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (4).
- Michigan State ranks T120th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-3.0).
- Maryland has lost the second quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Maryland has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last seven games – longest active streak in the FBS.
Michigan State vs Maryland Prediction
I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams on massive losing streaks, and both are just 5-5 ATS on the season. If forced to pick, I’ll lay the reasonable number with Michigan State. It’s senior night for 29 seniors, and maybe that Sparty offense can finally get going on the turf of Ford Field. Michigan State is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games as a favorite, but Maryland has lost its last 4 games as an underdog by an average of 25.7 points. Somebody has to win. I’ll side with Michigan State by a touchdown.