College Football

Michigan State vs WKU 10/2/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

WKU Hilltoppers (1-2) vs. Michigan State Spartans (4-0)
October 2, 2021 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -10 / WKU Hilltoppers +10; Over/Under: 59.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Michigan State Spartans square off Saturday night at Spartan Stadium in week 5 college football contest. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers look for a win to get back to a .500 record. The Michigan State Spartans look for their first 5-0 start since the 2015 CFB season.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have lost five of their last seven road games. Bailey Zappe is completing 73.1 percent of his passes for 1,224 yards, 13 touchdowns and two interceptions. Jerreth Sterns and Mitchell Tinsley have combined for 579 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Malachi Corley has 20 receptions. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ground game is averaging 81.3 yards per contest, and Adam Cofield leads the way with 82 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing 30.7 points and 439.7 yards per game. Antwon Kincade leads the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers with 26 tackles, DeAngelo Malone has 1.5 sacks and Miguel Edwards has one interception.


The Michigan State Spartans have won three of their last four home games. Payton Thorne is completing 62 percent of his passes for 909 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception. Jayden Reed and Tre Mosley have combined for 529 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jalen Nailor has 10 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 215.5 yards per contest, and Kenneth Walker III leads the way with 554 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 18 points and 396 yards per game. Xavier Henderson leads the Michigan State Spartans with 42 tackles, Jeff Pietrowski has 3.5 sacks and Chester Kimbrough has one interception.

The Hilltoppers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Spartans are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 home games and 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The over is 6-0 in Hilltoppers last 6 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games overall.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers haven’t had the toughest schedule in the world through three games, but they did just take Indiana down to the wire and they’re second in the country in passing offense and 14th in points scored. Michigan State is fresh off an overtime game against Nebraska and has been shaky defensively, especially against the pass. Also, Michigan State is 2-9-1 against the spread in its last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. WKU could make this game interesting. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: WKU Hilltoppers +10

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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