Michigan vs New Mexico Prediction Football Picks Today 8/30/25

The New Mexico Lobos and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium. Here’s a Michigan vs New Mexico Prediction. This article will include a Michigan vs New Mexico Pick.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos won five games last season and begin the Jason Eck era. New Mexico has improved its win total in each of the last three years, which means a bowl appearance this year if that continues.

Idaho transfer Jack Layne will be the quarterback, and he has 2,000 passing yards and 23 touchdowns under his belt. Montana State transfer Scottre Humphrey brings 1,800 rushing yards and 24 touchdowns with him. The receiving depth takes a hit and only one offensive lineman returns, but New Mexico has two established players who are capable of leading a competent offense.

Defensively, Randolph Kpai returns after 80 tackles and 3 pass deflections, while Dimitri Johnson has 77 tackles and 2 sacks. Gabriel Lopez had 31 tackles and 1 sack, and those three names are the only key returning defensive players. Keyshawn James-Newby comes over from Idaho and had 14.5 tackles for loss last season. Austin Brawley transfers from Ohio and Clint Stephens transfers from UCLA. New Mexico may lack depth, but there’s some highlight level players on both sides of the ball.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines won eight games last season and enter the second year under coach Sherrone Moore. Michigan has a new offensive coordinator in Chip Lindsey.

Five-star recruit Bryce Underwood will get the nod at quarterback. Alabama transfer Justice Haynes will team up with Jordan Marshall to create one of the best running back 1–2 punches. Indiana transfer Donaven McCulley has 8 touchdowns and 800 yards under his belt and is in the best situation of his career. Semaj Morgan had 27 receptions last year, and the Wolverines offensive line is experienced.

Defensively, Ernest Hausmann returns after 89 tackles and 2 sacks, while Jaishawn Barham had 66 tackles and 2 pass deflections. Zeke Berry had 37 tackles and 2 interceptions, and Jyaire Hill had 35 tackles and 1 interception. Derrick Moore and Rayshaun Benny are NFL prospects on the defensive line as well. The talent is there for Michigan to make a run in the Big Ten, it’s a matter of how quickly Underwood can hit the ground running as such a young quarterback. 

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won each of its last 24 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium.
• New Mexico has lost each of its last 10 road openers.
• Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road openers.
• Michigan has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.
• Michigan has won the first quarter in 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• Michigan has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.
• New Mexico has covered the spread in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.

Michigan vs New Mexico Prediction

Michigan is obviously the better, deeper more physical team and could steam roll if things go well. However, this is a lot of points for a team starting a freshman quarterback. It’s also a look ahead spot with Oklahoma on deck. New Mexico may lack depth, but has a productive quarterback and running back who should be able to string together a drive or two.

Also, since 2017, Michigan is 4-9 ATS as a favorite of 30 or more points. Since 2006, Michigan is 10-16 ATS as a favorite of 30 or more points. This is a lot of points for a season opener. I’ll take a stab with New Mexico.