Oregon Ducks (8-0) vs. Michigan Wolverines (5-3)
November 2, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan Wolverines +14.5 / Oregon Ducks -14.5; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oregon Ducks and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at Michigan Stadium. Here’s a Michigan vs Oregon Prediction. This article will include a Michigan vs Oregon Pick.
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
The Oregon Ducks beat Purdue and Illinois, and they play Maryland next. Oregon has won 5 straight road games. Dillon Gabriel is completing 76.2 percent of his passes for 2,371 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Tez Johnson and Evan Stewart have combined for 1,084 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Terrance Ferguson has 20 receptions.
The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 167.1 yards per contest, and Jordan James leads the way with 800 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 15.6 points and 297.3 yards per game. Bryce Boettcher leads the Oregon Ducks with 46 tackles, Matayo Uiagalelei has 5.5 sacks and Tysheem Johnson has 2 interceptions.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines beat Michigan State, lost to Illinois, and they play Indiana next. Michigan has won 4 straight home games. Davis Warren is completing 67 percent of his passes for 567 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Colston Loveland and Semaj Morgan have combined for 529 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Tyler Morris has 9 receptions.
The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 172.6 yards per contest, and Kalel Millings leads the way with 694 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 21.5 points and 329.5 yards per game. Ernest Hausmann leads the Michigan Wolverines with 56 tackles, Josaiah Stewart has 6.5 sacks and Will Johnson has 2 interceptions.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 27 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight games.
- Oregon has won the first quarter in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
- Oregon has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last eight games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Oregon’s last four games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan ranks 130th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (130.5).
- Michigan ranks T6th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (83.3).
- Oregon ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.5).
- Oregon ranks 6th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+7.9).
Michigan vs Oregon Prediction
The Oregon Ducks are far and away the more talented team, and their offensive explosiveness could have a field day. Michigan has also failed to cover 6 of its last 8 games. With that said, Michigan is still physical in the trenches, tough defensively and winning at the big house is never easy. Michigan is also 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games as a double-digit underdog, and this will be just the sixth time since 2012 where the Wolverines are double-digit underdogs. The hook could be key in this spot. Give me Michigan and the 14.5 free points.
