Penn State Nittany Lions (3-3) vs. Michigan Wolverines (3-2)
October 17, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan Wolverines -6.5 / Penn State Nittany Lions +6.5; Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Penn State Nittany Lions and the Michigan Wolverines meet in week 7 college football action from Michigan Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction.
Penn State Nittany Lions Recap
The Penn State Nittany Lions come into this game looking to shake off their 31-23 loss at the hands of USC last time out to sit at 3-3 this season. After this game, Penn State will head home for a game against Purdue.
Nittany Lions Drop 3rd In A Row
Rocco Becht has thrown for 1,397 yards, 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 62.7% passing while James Peoples leads Penn State in rushing with 232 yards and 2 touchdowns. Carson Hansen sits behind Peoples on the ground with 227 yards and 3 touchdowns. Chase Sowell leads the Nittany Lions in receiving with 359 yards and 23 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Koby Howard trails with 344 yards and 12 catches along with 2 touchdowns. On defense, Tony Rojas has a team-high 43 tackles while Penn State’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 5 interceptions.
Michigan Wolverines Recap
The Michigan Wolverines come into this game looking to bounce back from a 20-14 loss at the hands of Minnesota last time out to sit at 3-2 on the year. After this game, Michigan will head home for a game against Indiana.
Wolverines Drop Two In A Row
Bryce Underwood has thrown for 881 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 59.3% passing while Jordan Marshall leads Michigan in rushing with 244 yards and 3 touchdowns. Bryce Underwood sits behind Marshall on the ground with 212 yards and 2 touchdowns. JJ Buchanan leads the Wolverines in receiving with 446 yards and 24 catches along with 4 touchdowns, while Andrew Marsh trails with 268 yards and 25 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Troy Bowles has a team-high 40 tackles while Michigan’s defense as a whole has combined for 12 sacks and 4 interceptions.
Penn State Nittany Lions @ Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 31 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium.
- Penn State has lost each of its last nine October games as a road underdog.
- Penn State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games as an underdog against teams from Michigan.
- Michigan has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against Penn State.
- Michigan has won the first half in 36 of its last 37 games as a favorite in Michigan.
- The home team has won the first quarter in seven of the last eight games between Penn State and Michigan.
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- The underdog has won each of Penn State’s last three games.
- Michigan has lost each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between Penn State and Michigan.
- The underdog has won the first quarter in three of Michigan’s last four games.
- Penn State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Michigan’s last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Penn State’s last four games against teams from Michigan have gone UNDER the total points line.
Michigan Wolverines Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, JJ Buchanan leads Michigan for touchdowns (4) this season.
Penn State Nittany Lions Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Koby Howard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (28.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Four of Michigan’s five games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Michigan ranks 3rd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (241.4).
- Penn State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
- Penn State ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (149.8).
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction
I’m on Penn State and the points here. I much prefer backing Penn State as an underdog and there’s no world where I feel up to laying this kind of number with Michigan with how poor the offense has looked at times this season. I think Penn State is live to win this game, so give me the Nittany Lions and the points.
