Michigan vs Rutgers Prediction Football Picks 9-23-23
Michigan Wolverines (3-0) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-0)
2023-09-23 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Michigan Wolverines -26 -- Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at Michigan Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Preview
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights take the road for the first time and are looking for their first 4-0 start since 2012. This is easily the biggest game for Rutgers in quite some time. Gavin Wimsatt is completing 51.5 percent of his passes for 407 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. JaQuae Jackson and Christian Dremel have combined for 171 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Isaiah Washington has 7 receptions. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights ground game is averaging 210.7 yards per contest, and Kyle Monangai leads the way with 357 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Rutgers is allowing 10 points and 273.3 yards per game. Tyreem Powell leads the Rutgers Scarlet Knights with 28 tackles, Aaron Lewis has 1 sack and Max Melton has 1 interception.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights Team Facts
- Rutgers has lost each of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Rutgers has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
- Rutgers has lost the first half in 11 of its last 12 road games against conference opponents.
- Each of Rutgers’ last five games against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines look for a fourth straight home win to start 4-0 for a third straight season. Michigan hasn’t lost to an unranked team since a November 2020 loss to Penn State. J.J. McCarthy is completing 82.4 percent of his passes for 701 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Cornelius Johnson and Roman Wilson have combined for 433 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Colston Loveland has 9 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 156.7 yards per contest, and Blake Corum leads the way with 254 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 5.3 points and 223 yards per game. Junior Colson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 16 tackles, Jaylen Harrell has 2.5 sacks and Quinten Johnson has 1 interception.
Michigan Wolverines Team Facts
- Michigan has won each of its last 26 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games at Michigan Stadium.
- Michigan has won the first half in each of its last nine games against conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.
- Michigan has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.
- Each of Michigan’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan ranked 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game last season (12.9).
- Michigan ranked 1st among FBS teams for H2 points per game last season (22.8).
Randy’s Pick
The Michigan Wolverines are obviously the more talented and physical team, but this line isn’t showing any respect toward Rutgers. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are greatly improved defensively, they have the seventh best scoring defense and their offense is 20thin rushing. Rutgers has the formula for competing on the road in terms of playing defense and being able to run the ball. We just saw Rutgers break down Virginia Tech last week. Give this team some credit. Michigan likely wins, but we’re getting almost 4 touchdowns with the best Rutgers team in quite some time. Give me the road dog.