Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/28/26

In this article we will formulate a Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State prediction for this College Football game on Wednesday, October 28th at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 9 matchup. 

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 4-3 (2-1) this season after they defeated FIU by a score of 26-23 in their last game. Middle Tennessee led 13-8 at halftime and they added 13 more points in the second half in the narrow win. The Blue Raiders out gained FIU by a total of 448-347, went 3-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Roman Gagliano threw for 200 yards and one touchdown, while Cam’ron Lacy caught six passes for 68 yards. Terrence Brown rushed 18 times for 158 yards and one score in the game. 

Prior to that win, Middle Tennessee defeated Delaware by a score of 33-30, but lost to Kansas by a score of 55-0 before that. The Blue Raiders have scored 23.3 points per game with 200.6 passing yards and 139.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.6 points against per game this season. Roman Gagliano has thrown for 1,404 yards with 12 touchdowns and two interceptions this season. 

Kennesaw State Owls Betting Preview

The Kennesaw State Owls are 1-6 (0-3) this year after they lost to Liberty by a score of 34-6 in their last game. Kennesaw State trailed 14-3 at halftime and they were outscored 20-3 in the second half in the loss. The Owls were out gained by a total of 402-297, went 6-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Rickie Collins threw for 124 yards and two interceptions, while Brayden Munroe caught three passes for 53 yards. Boogie Woods III rushed 13 times for 38 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Kennesaw State lost to Missouri State by a score of 24-21 and Jacksonville State by a score of 27-26. The Owls have scored 20.0 points per game with 227.4 passing yards and 132.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.0 points against per game this season. Rickie Collins has thrown for 1,426 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions this year, while also rushing for 295 yards and five scores. 

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Kennesaw State has lost each of its last six games.
• Middle Tennessee has won each of its last four home games.
• Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in each of its last five home games in October.
• Middle Tennessee has won the first quarter in each of its last 10 home games in October.
• Middle Tennessee has won the first half in each of its last 12 October games as a home favorite.

Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win

• The underdog has covered the spread in five of Kennesaw State’s last six games.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Kennesaw State’s last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Middle Tennessee’s last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Ashton Logan ranks 4th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.2) this season.

Kennesaw State Owls Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Rickie Collins leads Kennesaw State for touchdowns (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Middle Tennessee ranks 137th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (25.6).
• Middle Tennessee is one of only nine FBS teams undefeated in home games this season (3-0).
• Kennesaw State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Kennesaw State has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last five games – longest active streak in the FBS.

Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Prediction 

Middle Tennessee comes into this matchup on a two game winning streak and they have scored 59 points in those two wins. The Blue Raiders have been in three very close games in their last five and their QB has been solid. Kennesaw State has lost five in a row and they have scored 21 or fewer in four of those five. This line doesn’t make much sense to me, as I think Middle Tennessee is the much better team. Take the Blue Raiders here.