Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/8/25

The Missouri State Bears and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders meet in week 7 college football action from Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction.

Missouri State Bears Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to bounce back from a 27-22 loss at the hands of Western Kentucky last time out to sit at 2-3 this season. After this game, Missouri State will head on the road for a game against New Mexico State following a bye week.

Bears Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Jacob Clark has thrown for 1,195 yards, 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 65.2% passing while Shomari Lawrence leads the Bears on the ground with 286 rushing yards. Dash Luke has a team-high 22 catches for 310 yards with 2 touchdowns while Jmariyae Robinson has 212 receiving yards and a touchdown. Three more Bears have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Kanye Young has a team-high 29 total tackles including 20 solo tackles while also logging a sack and an interception. As a unit, Missouri State’s defense has combined for 7 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Middle Tennessee has lost seven of its last eight games.
• The road team has won three of Missouri State’s last four games.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine home games.
• Missouri State has covered the spread in three of its last four games.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Recap

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come into this game looking to rebound from their 24-16 loss at the hands of the Kennesaw State Owls to sit at 1-4 this season. After this game, Middle Tennessee will have a bye week before heading on the road to take on Delaware.

Blue Raiders Drop Back-To-Back Games

Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 1,125 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 58.7% passing while Jekail Middlebrook leads the Blue Raiders with 340 rushing yards as well on the year. Nazhae Cox leads Middle Tennessee with 24 grabs for 341 yards and 4 touchdowns while Myles Butler has 180 receiving yards as well this season. Four more Blue Raiders also have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Parker Hughes has a team-high 42 total tackles including 25 solo tackles while Muaaz Byard has 28 total tackles with 12 solo tackles. Zeion Simpson-Smith, Brandon Buckner and Damonte Smith each have a pair of sacks and Juwon Gaston has a pair of interceptions.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in four of its last five October games as a home underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri State’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Middle Tennessee’s last six October games as a home underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction

I’m leaning towards Missouri State here. I just look at this matchup and for me, I think that Missouri State is the better team on both sides of the ball when both teams are pass happy and prefer to play through the air. Missouri State has the better passing offense and is better at defending it as well and I think Missouri State’s favored on the road for a reason here. Give me the Bears.