Minnesota vs Penn State Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks
Penn State Nittany Lions (9-1) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-4)
November 23, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers +13.5 / Penn State Nittany Lions -13.5; Over/Under: +47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Penn State Nittany Lions and the Minnesota Golden Gophers meet Saturday in college football action from TCF Bank Stadium. Here’s a Minnesota vs Penn State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Minnesota vs Penn State pick.
Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview
The Nittany Lions won their first seven games out of the gate, taking out West Virginia, Bowling Green, Kent State, Illinois, UCLA, USC, and Wisconsin in that time. Following a loss to Ohio State, Penn State would recover with a win over Washington.
On Saturday versus Purdue, the Lions didn’t have too many issues. Penn State scored 14 points in the first quarter and 21 in the third for a 49-10 win. Drew Allar threw for 247 yards and three scores, while Tyler Warren led both the rush (63 yards; TD) and the receivers (127 yards; TD).
Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Preview
Over on the Gophers’ side, they went 2-2 over their first four outings with losses to North Carolina and Iowa. Following another loss to Michigan, Minnesota took out USC, UCLA, Maryland, and Illinois before another loss to Rutgers.
Matched up against the Scarlet Knights on November 9, the Gophers had a 16-14 lead going into the final quarter but ended up falling 26-19. QB Max Brosmer posted 262 yards with one TD, and Darius Taylor led an anemic rush with 10 carries for 28 yards and a score of his own.
Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win
- Minnesota has won four of its last five games.
- Minnesota has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
- Minnesota has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- Penn State has won each of its last 29 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Minnesota has lost five of its last six games in November.
- Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last 12 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in November.
- Penn State has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Penn State’s last six games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Minnesota’s last six home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota vs Penn State Prediction
I’ll just stay with Penn State. The Lions dominated Purdue in their last outing, notching 539 yards (305 passing), 23 first downs, and a nice 9-of-14 on third downs. The defense gave up 302 yards (217 passing), 16 first downs, and 5-of-14 on third downs on the other side. Penn State has outscored opponents by a combined 84-16 in their last two games.
As for Minnesota, they snapped a nice win streak against Rutgers in their last outing but didn’t play horribly for most of the game. The Gophers posted 297 yards (35 rushing) and went 7-of-16 on third-down tries but let the game go in the fourth. This will be an even tougher matchup, and I don’t see the Gophers staying too close.