Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks
Missouri Tigers (7-3) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-8)
November 23, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5 / Missouri Tigers -7.5; Over/Under: +56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Missouri Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in week 13 college football action from Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction.
Missouri Recap
The Missouri Tigers come into this one looking to bounce back from a 34-30 loss at the hands of South Carolina last time out. After this game, Missouri will head home for their regular-season finale against the Arkansas Razorbacks.
Tigers Looking To Finish Strong
Brady Cook has thrown for 1,812 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 63.5% passing while Drew Pyne has thrown for 391 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions on 59.8% passing. Nate Noel leads the Tigers in rushing with 684 rushing yards along with 3 TDs while Marcus Carroll has 427 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Theo Wease Jr. has a team-high 637 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Luther Burden III has 53 receptions for 574 yards and 5 touchdowns. On defense, Corey Flagg Jr. has a team-high 66 total tackles while Johnny Walker Jr. has 5.5 sacks. As a team, Missouri’s defense has combined for 22 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this year.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
- Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in November.
Mississippi State Recap
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 33-14 loss to Tennessee last time out. After this game, Mississippi State will square off in the Egg Bowl against Ole Miss.
Bulldogs Out To Play Spoiler
Blake Shapen has thrown for 974 yards, 8 touchdowns, and an interception on 68.5% passing while Michael Van Buren Jr. has 1,415 passing yards with 8 touchdowns and an interception on 54.6% passing. Johnnie Daniels has 509 rushing yards and Davon Booth has 597 rushing yards as well this season. Kevin Coleman Jr. has a team-high 62 receptions for 756 yards and 5 touchdowns while Mario Craver has 368 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Jordan Mosley and Seydou Traore each have 300+ receiving yards. On defense, Isaac Smith has a team-high 101 total tackles. As a unit, Mississippi State’s defense has combined for 7 sacks and 7 interceptions this season.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won 10 of its last 11 November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has lost five of its last six road games in November.
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction
I’ll take a shot on Mississippi State here. I think the Tigers are the better team for sure, but the Tigers have also been one of the bigger disappointments after the expectations set out for them. Mississippi State hasn’t been great, but the offense has shown signs of improvement in spots this season and I think this is a sneaky spot for Mississippi State to sneak in the backdoor here. Give me Mississippi State.