Oklahoma Sooners (3-3) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2)
October 24, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs 142 / Oklahoma Sooners -170; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Mississippi State vs Oklahoma prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 24th at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-2 (2-2) this year after they lost to LSU by a score of 31-0 last week. Mississippi State trailed 21-0 at halftime and they were outscored 10-0 in the second half in the shutout loss. The Bulldogs were out gained by a total of 379-291, went 7-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle by a total of 1-1 in the game. Parker Puckett threw for 121 yards and one interception, while Anthony Evans III caught seven passes for 40 yards. Kolin Wilson rushed 18 times for 71 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Mississippi State lost to Alabama by a score of 56-23, but did defeat Missouri by a score of 31-24 before that. The Bulldogs have scored 32.5 points per game with 277.8 passing yards and 176.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.5 points against per game this season. Kamario Taylor (questionable) has thrown for 1,450 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions this year.
Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview
The Oklahoma Sooners are 3-3 (1-2) this season after they lost to Kentucky by a score of 21-13 in their last game. Oklahoma led 10-7 at halftime and 13-7 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed 14 points in the fourth for the loss. The Sooners out gained Kentucky by a total of 346-230, went 8-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-0 in the game. John Mateer threw for 270 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Manny Choice caught five passes for 98 yards. Lloyd Avant rushed eight times for 31 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Oklahoma defeated Texas by a score of 27-24, but lost to Georgia by a score of 41-13 before that. The Sooners have scored 21.3 points per game with 219.0 passing yards and 92.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.2 points against per game this season. John Mateer has thrown for 1,308 yards with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions, while Lloyd Avant has rushed 60 times for 267 yards and two scores this season.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oklahoma has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a favorite.
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked teams at Davis Wade Stadium.
- Mississippi State has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at Davis Wade Stadium.
Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last nine games in October.
- The favorite has won each of Mississippi State’s last nine games at Davis Wade Stadium.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Mississippi State’s last five games at Davis Wade Stadium.
- Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games as a home underdog.
- Oklahoma has won the first quarter in eight of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has lost the first half in 11 of its last 12 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mississippi State’s last eight home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of Oklahoma’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Kamario Taylor has thrown three or more touchdown passes in five consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.
Oklahoma Sooners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Rocky Beers leads Oklahoma for touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.2).
- Mississippi State ranks T127th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (264.8).
- Oklahoma ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.5).
- Oklahoma ranks 1st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (78).
Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Prediction
Mississippi State comes into this matchup on a two game losing streak and they have lost those two games by a combined margin of 64 points. The Bulldogs were without their starting QB last week against LSU and he is questionable for this one. Oklahoma couldn’t keep their momentum from beating Texas, as they lost a tough one to Kentucky last week. I don’t really trust either team here, but I am going to hope Taylor plays and take Mississippi State to cover at home.
