College Football

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction 10-19-24 College Football Picks

Texas A&M Aggies (5-1) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-5)
October 19, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5 / Texas A&M Aggies -14.5; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas A&M Aggies and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in week 8 college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction.

Texas A&M Recap

The Texas A&M Aggies come into this one looking to build on their current five-game win streak after ending up with a 41-10 win over Missouri in their last game prior to their bye week last week. After this game, Texas A&M will welcome LSU to town.

Aggies Looking To Make Noise In Playoff Chase

Marcel Reed has thrown for 585 yards and 6 touchdowns on 54.4% passing while Conner Weigman has thrown for 501 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 INTs on 62.1% passing. Le’Veon Moss has 609 rushing yards along with 6 touchdowns while Amari Daniels has 245 rushing yards with 4 TDs. Noah Thomas leads Texas A&M’s receiving group with 19 grabs for 252 yards and 2 touchdowns while Cyrus Allen has 204 receiving yards and Jahdae Walker has 131 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Taurean York has a team-high 28 total tackles while Marcus Ratcliffe has a team-high 3 interceptions and Nic Scourton has 4.5 sacks on the year. As a unit, Texas A&M has combined for 14 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Texas A&M has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
  • Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games as a home underdog.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of Mississippi State’s last four games.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to rebound from a 5th straight loss thanks to a 41-31 loss to Georgia last time out, falling to 1-5 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will square off against Arkansas at home.

Bulldogs Trying To Play Spoiler

Blake Shapen has thrown for 974 yards, 8 touchdowns and an interception on 68.5% passing while Michael Van Buren Jr. has 550 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and an interception on 53.4% passing. Johnnie Daniels has a team-high 262 rushing yards and Davon Booth has 224 rushing yards as well this season. Kevin Coleman Jr. has a team-high 36 receptions for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns while Mario Craver has 313 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Jordan Mosley has 205 receiving yards while Kelly Akharaiyi and Seydou Traore each have 150+ receiving yards. On defense, Isaac Smith leads the Bulldogs with 56 total tackles including 24 solo tackles while Stone Blanton has 50 total tackles. As a unit, Mississippi State’s defense has combined for 5 sacks and 3 interceptions this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Mississippi State has won each of its last four home games in October.
  • Texas A&M has lost each of its last four road games in October.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in October.
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread in four of its last five home games against Texas A&M.

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction

I’m leaning towards Mississippi State and the points here. This could be a bit of a look ahead spot for the Aggies with a huge game against LSU on deck that has huge college football playoff implications attached to it, and even if that wasn’t the next game, the Aggies have struggled in their small sample size as a big favorite this year. Of their four wins against FBS opposition, only one game by more than 13 points, and that was at home against Missouri. The Bulldogs showed some fight against Georgia, and I think the Bulldogs want to at least have some pride going down the stretch in what’s looking like a down year for the program. Give me Mississippi State.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Mississippi State +14.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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