Texas Longhorns (5-2) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3)
October 25, 2025 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5 / Texas Longhorns -7.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Longhorns and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in week 9 college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Longhorns vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction.
Texas Longhorns Recap
The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to add on to their 16-13 win over Kentucky last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, Texas will head home for a game against Vanderbilt.Â
Longhorns Win Back-To-Back Games
Arch Manning has thrown for 1,449 yards, 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.3% passing while also logging 194 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Quintrevion Wisner has a team-high 222 rushing yards and four more Longhorns have 100+ rushing yards as well on the year while Ryan Wingo has a team-high 24 catches for 320 yards and 4 TDs to lead Texas in receiving. Parker Livingstone has 308 receiving yards and 3 TDs while DeAndre Moore Jr. has 277 receiving yards and Jack Endries has 111 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Michael Taaffe has a team-high 51 total tackles including 28 solo tackles and an interception while Jelani McDonald and Graceson Littleton each have a team-high 2 interceptions so far this season. Colin Simmons also has 7 sacks as well on the year. On defense, Texas has combined for 21 sacks and 9 interceptions as a unit so far this season.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last 15 games against conference opponents.
- Texas has won 24 of its last 25 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 23-21 loss at the hands of Florida in their last game to sit at 4-3 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will head on the road for a game against Arkansas.
Bulldogs Drop 3 In A Row
Blake Shapen has thrown for 1,525 yards, 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 67% passing while Fluff Bothwell leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 465 yards on the ground and 6 touchdowns and Davon Booth has 371 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns as well this season. Brenen Thompson has 29 receptions for 533 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns while Anthony Evans III has a team-high 42 catches for 471 yards and 2 touchdowns this season. Three more Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jahron Manning has a team-high 46 total tackles while Will Whitson and DJ Reed each have a team-high 2 sacks. Brylan Lanier has a team-high 3 interceptions as well this season. As a unit, Mississippi State has combined for 10 sacks and 10 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- The home team has won five of Mississippi State’s last six games.
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last six games in Mississippi.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mississippi State’s last six home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of Texas’ last nine October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Texas Longhorns vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction
I’m on Mississippi State here. I just think that this line is giving too much love to Texas here considering that the Longhorns haven’t been anything special on the road and Texas almost lost to Kentucky last week. Mississippi State is still a quality team and I think they’re live in this matchup as they’ve battled a lot of tough teams and kept things close. Give me the Bulldogs and the points.
