Missouri State vs Texas A&M Prediction Football Picks Today 9/5/26

In this article, we will formulate a Missouri State vs Texas A&M Prediction for this College Football Week 1 matchup on Saturday, September 5^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas A&M Aggies Preview

Texas A&M finished last season with an 11-2 overall record, a 7-1 conference record, and placed 3rd in the Southeastern. They had a 7-1 home record and a 4-1 road record. Offensively, the Aggies scored 33.8 points per game (ranking 19th in the nation). Defensively, Texas A&M allowed 21.0 points per game (ranking 36th in the nation). They averaged 444.5 total yards per game (184.7 rushing, 259.8 passing) and gave up 307.4 total yards per game (130.8 rushing, 176.6 passing).

Marcel Reed led the Aggies with 234/377 completed passes and 3,169 total passing yards, throwing 25 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Marcel Reed led the team in rushing yards with 449, adding a team-high 6 rushing touchdowns, while Mario Craver had a team-high 59 caught passes for 991 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Taurean York led the team with 73 total tackles (32 solo), while Cashius Howell led Texas A&M in sacks with 11.5.

Missouri State Bears Preview

Missouri State finished last season with a 7-6 overall record, a 5-3 conference record, and placed 4th in the CUSA. They had a 3-3 home record and a 4-2 road record. Offensively, the Bears scored 25.6 points per game (ranking 83rd in the nation). Defensively, Missouri State allowed 28.8 points per game (ranking 91st in the nation). They averaged 392.2 total yards per game (112.5 rushing, 279.7 passing) and gave up 382.8 total yards per game (153.3 rushing, 229.5 passing).

Jacob Clark led the Bears with 247/376 completed passes and 3,244 total passing yards, throwing 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Shomari Lawrence led the team in rushing yards with 1,021, adding a team-high 7 rushing touchdowns, while Alred Luke had a team-high 43 caught passes for 640 receiving yards. Defensively, Jared Lloyd and Kanye Young tied for a team-high 77 total tackles, while DJ Wesolak led Missouri State in sacks with 4.5.

Missouri State Bears @ Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends: Week 1

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

• Texas A&M has won each of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
• Missouri State has lost each of its last three games.
• Missouri State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games.
• Texas A&M has won the first half 17 of its last 18 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
• Texas A&M has won the first quarter in each of its last eight September games at Kyle Field.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Kyle Field.
• The road team has covered the spread in five of Texas A&M’s last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri State’s last four games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Texas A&M’s last three games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Ashton Bethel-Roman ranked 5th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (21.0) last season.

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

• Jmariyae Robinson ranked T3rd in the Conference USA for receiving touchdowns (7) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas A&M have had overturned the largest 2nd quarter deficit to win a game last season – 27 points vs South Carolina.
• Texas A&M ranked T8th among FBS teams for 1st downs against last season (205).
• Missouri State ranked 16th among FBS teams for passing yards per game last season (279.7).
• Missouri State ranked 118th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game last season (112.5).

Missouri State vs Texas A&M Prediction

In this Missouri State vs Texas A&M Prediction, Texas A&M is coming as -41.5 home favorites. Texas A&M is coming off a very good season, where they went almost undefeated in the Southeastern and had a top-20 offense and top-40 defense. They struggled to cover the spread though, going for 5-8 ATS and will face a Missouri State team that was better on the road with a 4-2 record. The line feels too much, so I will grab the plus points with the road team in this one. Take Missouri State and the +41.5 in this one.