Missouri State vs UTEP Prediction Football Picks Today 11/15/25

In this article we will formulate a Missouri State vs UTEP prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 15th at Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

The Missouri State Bears are 6-3 (4-1) this year after they defeated Liberty by a score of 21-17 in their last game. Missouri State trailed 10-0 at halftime and 17-14 in the fourth quarter, but they scored with 27 seconds left to get the win. The Bears were out gained by a total of 398-332, went 4-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Jacob Clark went 20-33 for 286 yards and two touchdowns, while Shomari Lawrence rushed 13 times for 48 yards. Tristian Gardner led the receivers with five catches for 80 yards and one score in the win. The Missouri State defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the victory. 

Prior to that game, Missouri State defeated FIU by a score of 28-21 and New Mexico State by a score of 24-17. The Bears have won four games in a row and they are currently fourth in the CUSA standings. Missouri State has scored 22.6 points per game with 257.7 passing yards and 110.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.9 points against per game this season. Jacob Clark has thrown for 1,927 yards, 15 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Shomari Lawrence has rushed 125 times for 598 yards and four scores this year. 

UTEP Miners Betting Preview

The UTEP Miners are 2-7 (1-4) this season after they lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 30-27 in their last game. UTEP trailed 20-13 at halftime, but they were tied at 27 in the fourth quarter, before allowing a field goal with 53 seconds left for the loss. The Miners were out gained by a total of 456-370, went 2-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Skyler Locklear went 16-32 for 244 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while also rushing 17 times for 82 yards and two scores. Wondame Davis Jr led the receivers with five catches for 166 yards and one touchdown in the game. The UTEP defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the defeat. 

Prior to that game, UTEP lost to Kennesaw State by a score of 33-20, but did beat Sam Houston by a score of 35-17 before that. The Miners have lost six of their last seven games and they are currently ninth in the CUSA standings. UTEP has scored 21.6 points per game with 219.4 passing yards and 110.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.8 points against per game this season. Skyler Locklear has thrown for 804 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Wondame Davis Jr has 20 receptions for 457 yards and four scores this season. 

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• UTEP has lost 23 of its last 24 November games as an underdog.
• Missouri State has won each of its last four games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of UTEP’s last five games.
• UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UTEP has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri State’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Twelve of UTEP’s last 13 road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Six of Missouri State’s nine games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Missouri State ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.1).
• UTEP ranks 134th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:51).
• UTEP ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (27.5).

Missouri State vs UTEP Prediction 

Missouri State comes into this matchup looking for their fifth straight win and their defense has been very good during that span. The Bears have allowed 21 points or fewer in four straight games, which has really helped their lower scoring offense. UTEP has dropped six of their last seven games and they have allowed 63 points in their last two. UTEP has shown some decent fight this year and they have kept their last few losses respectable, but I am going with Missouri State and their tough defense to cover at home. 

David Racey is 117-95 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!