Missouri vs Kansas State Prediction Football Picks 9-16-23
Missouri Tigers (2-0) vs Kansas State Wildcats (2-0)
2023-09-16 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Missouri Tigers +4.5 -- Over/Under: 48
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kansas State Wildcats and the Missouri Tigers meet in week 3 college football action from Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field on Saturday afternoon.
K-State Starts 2-0
The Kansas State Wildcats started the year at 2-0 by taking out Troy by a final score of 42-13 last time out. Will Howard has thrown for 547 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 INTs on 67.2% passing while also rushing for 3 TDs. DJ Giddens has rushed for a team-high 180 yards while Treshaun Ward has 114 rushing yards and a TD. RJ Garcia II has a team-high 150 receiving yards while Phillip Brooks has a team-high 13 receptions for 134 yards. Two additional Wildcats have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Austin Moore has a team-high 12 total tackles while Khalid Duke has a team-high 3 sacks and Nate Mallack has a pair of sacks as well this season.
Kansas State Wildcats Team Facts
– The team ranked 15th in the AP Poll has won each of its last eight games.
– Kansas State has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite.
– Kansas State has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.
– Kansas State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
– Each of Kansas State’s last four road openers have gone OVER the total points line.
Tigers Also 2-0
The Missouri Tigers come into this one at 2-0 on the year after coming out with a 23-19 win over Middle Tennessee last time out. Brady Cook has thrown for 376 yards and 3 touchdowns with a 77.5% completion percentage while Cody Schrader’s rushed for a team-high 222 rushing yards and a touchdown and Nathaniel Peat has 104 rushing yards and a score as well. Luther Burden III leads Missouri’s receiving group with 15 catches for 213 yards and a touchdown as well this season. On defense, Darius Robinson has a team-high 10 total tackles while Missouri’s defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks so far this season.
Missouri Tigers Team Facts
– Missouri has won each of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
– The underdog has covered the spread in seven of Missouri’s last eight games at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
– Missouri has won the first half in each of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
– Missouri has won the first quarter in 13 of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
– Eight of Missouri’s last nine games against opponents from the Big 12 Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
– Missouri ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.615).
– Missouri ranked 26th among FBS teams for Q2 points allowed per game last season (5.8).
– Kansas State ranked 2nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game last season (11.2).
– Kansas State ranked 2nd among FBS teams for H1 win percentage last season (.857).
Chris’ Pick
I’m leaning towards Kansas State right now. I just wasn’t a fan of how Missouri looked against a mediocre at best Middle Tennessee team, and maybe Missouri had one eye looking ahead to this game, but I just don’t see the Tigers doing enough here. I think Kansas State does more than enough to win this one by a touchdown so I’ll lay it and play it with Kansas State here.