North Texas Mean Green (4-2) vs. Navy Midshipmen (2-4)
October 24, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Navy Midshipmen 2.5 / North Texas Mean Green -2.5; Over/Under: 63.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Texas Mean Green and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Navy vs. North Texas Prediction. This article will include a Navy vs. North Texas Pick.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green beat Charlotte and Tulsa, and they play FAU next. North Texas has won 16 of its last 18 games. Tayven Jackson is completing 72.2 percent of his passes for 1,868 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Corri Milliner and Justin Stevenson have combined for 778 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Max Reese has 17 receptions.
The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 186.8 yards per contest, and Jahiem White leads the way with 687 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 29.2 points and 355.8 yards per game. Zakye Barker leads the North Texas Mean Green with 45 tackles, Davion Rhodes has 4 sacks, and Bryce Garza has 1 interception.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen beat Tulsa, lost to UTSA, and they play Notre Dame next. The Navy Midshipmen have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Jackson Gutierrez is completing 46.3 percent of his passes for 559 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jordan Collins and Truman Brasfield have combined for 354 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Luke Hutchinson has 4 catches.
The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 298.5 yards per contest, and Jackson Gutierrez leads the way with 644 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 25.8 points and 346.5 yards per game. Coleman Cauley leads the Navy Midshipmen with 49 tackles, MarcAnthony Parker has 4 sacks, and Giuseppe Sessi has 1 interception.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- Navy has won each of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of North Texas’ last five games.
- North Texas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a road favorite.
- The home team has won the first quarter in five of North Texas’ last six games.
- Navy has won the first half in 12 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last 16 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has lost each of its last 11 games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against teams from Texas.
- North Texas has covered the spread in 11 of its last 13 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has lost the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Texas’ last nine games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Navy’s last seven October games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Braxton Woodson ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (8.7) this season.
North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Tayven Jackson ranks 5th amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Navy has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (4).
- Navy has suffered the most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- North Texas has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 35+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- North Texas has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
Navy vs North Texas Prediction
I’m looking at the over in this spot as this could be one of the highest scoring games in week 8. North Texas is one of the best offenses in the country, but its defense is shaky at best, including being 73rd against the run. Bad news going up against Navy. However, Navy is 112th in pass defense and 91st in scoring defense. North Texas will put up another big number here. High total, but I’m still rocking with the over in a battle of two offenses that should have success moving the football.
