Navy vs North Texas Prediction 11/1/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Navy vs North Texas Prediction for this College Football Week 10 game on Saturday, November 1^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

North Texas Mean Green Preview

North Texas has a 7-1 record this season and is sitting 4th in the American. They are 6-2 ATS, 6-2 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 3-0 away record. North Texas is coming off a 54-20 road win against Charlotte and will face UAB, Rice and Temple next.

Offensively, North Texas averages 46.1 points per game, ranking 1st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.0 points per game, which is 78th. North Texas averages 495.8 total yards per game (317.6 passing and 178.1 rushing), while allowing 361.1 total yards per game (190.8 rushing and 170.4 passing).

Drew Mestemaker leads North Texas with 2,468 passing yards with 68.2% completed passes and 21 touchdowns. Caleb Hawkins leads the team in rushing yards with 547, while Wyatt Young has a team-high 35 receptions for 586 receiving yards. Defensively, Shane Whitter has a team-high 57 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Keviyan Huddleston leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Kollin Lewis leads the team with 2 interceptions.

Navy Midshipmen Preview

Navy has a 7-0 record this season and is sitting 1st in the American. They are 2-5 ATS, 6-1 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 2-0 away record. Navy is coming off a 42-32 home win against Florida Atlantic and will face Notre Dame, South Florida and Memphis next.

Offensively, Navy averages 37.3 points per game, ranking 16th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.0 points per game, which is 55th. Navy averages 477.0 total yards per game (158.9 passing and 318.1 rushing), while allowing 373.7 total yards per game (117.1 rushing and 256.6 passing).

Blake Horvath leads Navy with 1,063 passing yards with 64.5% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Blake Horvath leads the team in rushing yards with 814, while Eli Heidenreich has a team-high 25 receptions for 507 receiving yards. Defensively, MarcAnthony Parker has a team-high 59 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Landon Robinson leads the team in sacks, with 5.5. MarcAnthony Parker, Phillip Hamilton, Coleman Cauley and Justin Ross lead the team with one interception each.

Navy Midshipmen @ North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Navy has lost each of its last nine games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
• North Texas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against teams from Texas.
• North Texas has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against conference opponents.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

• Navy has won each of its last 10 games.
• North Texas has lost four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Navy’s last four games.
• North Texas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
• Navy has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Navy’s last eight games as an underdog against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of North Texas’ last four games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts

• Drew Mestemaker has recorded a 120.0+ passer rating in two consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

• Blake Horvath has recorded 100+ rushing yards in five consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.

Matchup/League Facts

• North Texas ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (46.1).
• North Texas has averaged 54.5 points over its last two games – most in the FBS over that span.
• Navy has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Navy ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (318.1).

Navy vs North Texas Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2023, Navy won 27-24 at home. In this Navy vs North Texas Prediction, North Texas is coming as -6.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 65.5 points. Both teams have been excellent this season with 7 wins each and Navy has been undefeated, but has failed to cover in their last four games. On the flip side, North Texas is 5-1 against the spread in its last 6 games and is better offensively, scoring 5.8 points per game than Navy. The value here lies with the home team, so take North Texas and lay the -6.5 points in this one.