Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction 10-26-24 College Football Picks
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-1) vs. Navy Midshipmen (6-0)
October 26, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Navy Midshipmen +12.5 / Notre Dame Fighting Irish -12.5; Over/Under: +51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction. This article will include a Navy vs Notre Dame Pick.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Stanford and Georgia Tech, and they play Florida State next. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have won 6 of their last 8 non-home games. Riley Leonard is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,182 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Beaux Collins and Jaden Greathouse have combined for 519 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jeremiyah Love has 15 receptions.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ground game is averaging 209.5 yards per contest, and Love leads the way with 426 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Notre Dame is allowing 11.9 points and 279 yards per game. Drayk Bowen leads the Notre Dame Fighting Irish with 38 tackles, Howard Cross III has 4 sacks and Xavier Watts has 3 interceptions.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen beat Air Force and Charlotte, and they play Rice next. The Navy Midshipmen have lost 5 of their last 8 non-home games. Blake Horvath is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 888 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Eli Heidenreich and Brandon Chatman have combined for 662 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Nathan Kent has 3 receptions.
The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 274.8 yards per contest, and Horvath leads the way with 621 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 19.7 points and 389.7 yards per game. Colin Ramos leads the Navy Midshipmen with 68 tackles, Justin Reed has 4 sacks and Dashaun Peele has 3 interceptions.
Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win
- The team ranked 12th in the AP Poll has won 27 of its last 29 games.
- Navy has lost each of its last six October games against AP-ranked teams.
- Notre Dame has covered the spread in 13 of its last 14 games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
- Notre Dame has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against opponents from the American Athletic Conference at neutral venues.
- Navy has lost the first half in each of its last eight games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Navy’s last six games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Notre Dame’s last five games against AP-ranked teams at neutral venues have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Navy ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (15.3).
- Notre Dame ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
- Notre Dame ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.0).
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction
Notre Dame is capable of blowing the doors off, especially with Navy being below-average defensively in terms of yards allowed. However, Navy has earned the right to deserve the benefit of the doubt as it’s undefeated and has covered 7 of its last 10 games. The Navy Midshipmen are also 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a double-digit underdog. Notre Dame is the better, more balanced team, but Navy is having too good of a season and the offense is too explosive to leave this sort of number on the table. Give me the points.