Duke Blue Devils (6-3) vs. NC State Wolfpack (5-4)
November 9, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: NC State Wolfpack -3 / Duke Blue Devils +3; Over/Under: +48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Duke Blue Devils and the NC State Wolfpack meet in week 11 college football action from Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a NC State vs Duke Prediction.
Duke Recap
The Duke Blue Devils come into this game looking to rebound from a 53-31 loss at the hands of Miami last time out to fall to 6-3 on the year. After this game, Duke will have a bye before welcoming Virginia Tech to town.
Duke Loses Back-To-Back For First Time This Season
Entering the Miami game, Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,796 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 58.6% passing while Star Thomas leads the Blue Devils on the ground with 681 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Jordan Moore has 34 receptions for 481 yards and 4 TDs while Eli Pancol has 36 grabs for 446 yards and 6 touchdowns. Another pair of Blue Devils have 200+ receiving yards and two more Dukies have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Alex Howard has a team-high 59 total tackles including 5 sacks while Vincent Anthony Jr. and Wesley Williams each have 4 sacks. As a unit, Duke’s defense has combined for 24 sacks and 9 interceptions on the year.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Duke has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
NC State Recap
The NC State Wolfpack come into this one looking to build on their 59-28 win over Stanford last time out to improve to 5-4 on the year. After this game, NC State will have a bye before going on the road for their final two games of the season starting with a game at Georgia Tech.
Wolfpack Close To Bowl Eligbility
Entering the Stanford matchup, CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,376 yards, 8 touchdowns and 4 INTs on 67.1% passing. Jordan Waters has rushed for 260 yards and 2 touchdowns while Kendrick Raphael has 287 rushing yards and 3 TDs and Hollywood Smothers also has 157 rushing yards as well on the year. Kevin Concepcion has a team-high 43 receptions for 365 yards and 4 touchdowns while Justin Joly has 26 grabs for a team-leading 447 yards and Noah Rogers has 313 receiving yards this season. On defense, Caden Fordham has 49 total tackles while Sean Brown has 56 total tackles including 3 sacks. Davin Vann also has a team-high 4.5 sacks this year. As a unit, NC State’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- Duke has lost each of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- NC State has won each of its last six games in November.
- NC State has covered the spread in each of its last six games in November.
- Duke has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
NC State vs Duke Prediction
I’m on NC State here. I think we’re starting to see what a lot of folks were worried about with Duke which was what would happen when Duke’s luck ran out. Duke had a lot of breaks go their way on the way to their 6-2 record, but now the bounces are going against them. NC State looked dead in the water at times this year but found a way to now have a shot at a bowl game with a win here and it’s NC State’s final home game of the season so one would have to think that means something extra. Give me NC State.
