Nevada vs Boise State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/24/25

The Boise State Broncos and Nevada Wolf Pack meet Friday in college football action at Mackay Stadium. Here’s a Nevada vs Boise State Prediction. This article will include a Nevada vs Boise State Pick.

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos beat New Mexico and UNLV, and they play Fresno State next. The Boise State Broncos have won 17 of their last 20 regular season games. Maddux Madsen is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,823 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Ben Ford and Chris Marshall have combined for 765 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Latrell Caples has 22 receptions.

The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 205.6 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads the way with 695 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 26.1 points and 351.3 yards per game. Ty Benefield leads the Boise State Broncos with 49 tackles, Braxton Fely has 4.5 sacks and A’Marion McCoy has 3 interceptions.

Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack lost to San Diego State and New Mexico, and they play Utah State next. Nevada has lost 5 straight games. Carter Jones is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 517 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Marcus Bellon and Jett Carpenter have combined for 391 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Jordan Brown has 14 receptions.

The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 145.4 yards per contest, and Caleb Ramseur leads the way with 310 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 28 points and 374.4 yards per game. Dylan Labarbera leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 59 tackles, Jonathan Maldonado has 4 sacks and EJ Smith has 2 interceptions.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

• The home team has won each of Boise State’s last four games.
• Nevada has covered the spread in three of its last four games against Boise State.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won each of its last 15 games against conference opponents.
• Nevada has lost each of its last 14 games against conference opponents.
• Nevada has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 14 home games against conference opponents.
• Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last six games.
• Boise State has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
• Nevada has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Boise State’s last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Nevada’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Caleb Ramseur leads Nevada for touchdowns (3) this season.

Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Dylan Riley leads the Mountain West Conference for yards per carry (8.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nevada has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Nevada has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Boise State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Boise State ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+9.0).

Nevada vs Boise State Prediction

Nevada has been more competitive than its record suggests, and I considered the points because of it. However, Nevada is a bad team on both sides of the ball, and it’s not ideal when going up against a good team. We saw what happened when Nevada played Penn State. Boise State is 4-0 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite and has won those games by an average of 27.75 points. Nevada is going to struggle on both sides of the ball in this matchup, and I don’t want to sweat a potential backdoor cover. Give me Boise State in a comfortable road win.