Nevada vs Middle Tennessee Prediction Football Picks Today 9/19/26

In this article, we will formulate a Nevada vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for this College Football Week 3 matchup on Saturday, September 19^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Preview

Middle Tennessee has a 1-1 record and are coming off a 26-28 road loss against Marshall. They will face Jacksonville State and Kansas next. Offensively, Middle Tennessee averages 32 points per game, ranking 67th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21 points per game, which is 72nd. Middle Tennessee averages 374 total yards per game (221.5 passing and 152.5 rushing), while allowing 300 total yards per game (137 rushing and 163 passing).

Roman Gagliano leads Middle Tennessee with 443 passing yards with 61.6% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Antonio Martin Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 135, while Cam’ron Lacy has a team-high 17 receptions for 190 receiving yards. Defensively, Korey Smith has a team-high 16 total tackles (5 of them solo).

Nevada Wolf Pack Preview

Nevada has a 1-1 record and are coming off a 7-20 home loss against Montana State. They will face Air Force and UTEP next. Offensively, Nevada averages 28 points per game, ranking 86th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 17 points per game, which is 52nd. Nevada averages 417.5 total yards per game (165 passing and 252.5 rushing), while allowing 348.5 total yards per game (154.5 rushing and 194 passing).

Carter Jones leads Nevada with 163 passing yards with 60% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Dominic Kelley leads the team in rushing yards with 236, while Gary Givens III has a team-high 2 receptions for 83 receiving yards. Defensively, EJ Smith has a team-high 24 total tackles (16 of them solo), while Myles Williams leads the team with one sack.

Nevada Wolf Pack @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Trends: Week 3

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Nevada has lost each of its last eight road games in September.
• The home team has won four of Middle Tennessee’s last five games.
• Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• Nevada has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Middle Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games.
• Nevada has lost the first half in seven of its last nine road games in September.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

• Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last seven games as an underdog in Tennessee.
• The road team has won three of Nevada’s last four games.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games as a home underdog.
• Nevada has covered the spread in five of its last six road openers.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in each of its last 13 September games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Nevada’s last four road games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Middle Tennessee’s last four September games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Roman Gagliano ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.4%) this season.

Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Dominic Kelley ranks T11th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (236) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• One of Middle Tennessee’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Middle Tennessee ranks T117th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (31.6).
• Nevada ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Nevada ranks 16th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (252.5).

Nevada vs Middle Tennessee Prediction

In this Nevada vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Nevada is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Both teams are coming off their first defeats of the season and are looking to bounce back. They both have efficient defenses, allowing 38 points per game combined and as a result, their last three games combined have gone under the total. In their only previous meeting last season, they combined for just 27 total points, so I expect a low-scoring affair today. Take the under 50.5 points in this one.