Nevada vs New Mexico
October 18, 2025 9:15 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico -11.5 / Over/Under 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction for this College Football Week 8 game on Saturday, October 18th at the University Stadium (NM). Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
New Mexico Preview
New Mexico has a 3-3-0 record this season and is sitting 9th in the MWC. They are 3-3-0 ATS, 4-2-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-0-0 home record and a 1-3-0 away record. New Mexico is coming off a 25-41 road loss against Boise State and will face Utah State, Nevada-Las Vegas and Colorado State next.
Offensively, New Mexico averages 29.2 points per game, ranking 67th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.0 points per game, which is 91st. New Mexico averages 369.2 total yards per game (232.3 passing and 136.8 rushing), while allowing 390.8 total yards per game (126.7 rushing and 264.2 passing).
Jack Layne leads New Mexico with 1,277 passing yards with 66.7% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Damon Bankston leads the team in rushing yards with 307, while Dorian Thomas has a team-high 32 receptions for 348 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaxton Eck has a team-high 64 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Keyshawn James-Newby leads the team in sacks, with 4.5, and Tavian Combs, David Murphy and Xavier Slayton each have one interception.
Nevada Preview
Nevada has a 1-5-0 record this season and is sitting 11th in the MWC. They are 2-4-0 ATS, 2-4-0 in Over/Under and have a 1-2-0 home record and a 0-3-0 away record. Nevada is coming off a 10-44 home loss against San Diego State and will face Boise State, Utah State and San Jose State next.
Offensively, Nevada averages 14.5 points per game, ranking 133rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 28.7 points per game, which is 99th. Nevada averages 309.5 total yards per game (152 passing and 157.5 rushing), while allowing 378.8 total yards per game (147.8 rushing and 231 passing).
Chubba Purdy leads Nevada with 494 passing yards with 51.9% completed passes and 1 touchdown. Chubba Purdy leads the team in rushing yards with 292, while Jett Carpenter has a team-high 16 receptions for 185 receiving yards. Defensively, Dylan Labarbera has a team-high 51 total tackles (32 of them solo), while Dylan Labarbera leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and EJ Smith has a team-high two interceptions.
Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, Nevada won 34-24 at home, and are 6-1 in their last 7 overall meetings against New Mexico, but both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in New Mexico. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction, New Mexico is coming as -11.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 49.5 points. Nevada has been terrible this season, with just one win in their six games played, including three on the road. On the flip side, New Mexico has won both of its home games, and are better both offensively and defensively than Nevada. Take the home team to win comfortably in this one, so take New Mexico and lay the -11.5 points in this one.
Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: New Mexico -11.5
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