College Football

Nevada vs New Mexico State 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

New Mexico State Aggies (1-5) vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-1)
October 9, 2021 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -33.5 / New Mexico State Aggies +33.5; Over/Under: 61.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Nevada Wolf Pack and New Mexico State Aggies meet in a week 6 college football contest from Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada on Saturday night.

The New Mexico State Aggies will hope to improve on their 1-5 record after a 37-31 loss to San Jose State last time out. Jonah Johnson’s thrown for 1,024 yards, 5 touchdowns and 5 picks while Dino Maldonado’s tossed for 513 yards, 4 touchdowns and a pair of interceptions this season. Juwaun Price and O’Maury Samuels give the Aggies a pair of 200+ yard rushers so far this year while Jared Wyatt and Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda make up a pair of 300+ yard receivers for the Aggies so far this year, On defense, Chris Ojoh leads the Aggies with 4 sacks while Michael Bowe Jr. has a team-high 33 total tackles.


The Nevada Wolf Pack will try to build on a massive 41-31 win over Boise State in their last game. Carson Strong’s thrown for 1,218 yards, 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 67.5% passing while Toa Taua has a team-high 279 rushing yards. Romeo Doubs leads Nevada with 22 catches for 304 yards while Cole Turner has 202 receiving yards and the Wolf Pack have another four 100-yard receivers so far this season. Defensively, Tristan Nichols leads the Wolf Pack with 5 sacks while Daiyan Henley has a team-high 35 total tackles this season.

New Mexico State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 20-41-1 ATS in their last 62 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Nevada is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record.

I’ll give the Aggies credit, they’ve been a lot more competitive than I thought they’d be for much of the season. With that said, they’re still not a good football team and while Nevada hasn’t been a team I’ve figured out yet this season, Carson Strong is still throwing the ball really well and this could end up being a nice stat builder game for him. Either way I think this one ends up flying over the numver. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 61.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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