New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction Football Picks Today 11/7/26

The Liberty Flames and the New Mexico State Aggies meet in week 10 college football action from Aggie Memorial Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game.

Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction

I’m on Liberty in this one. I just can’t get there with New Mexico State as this team is so bad offensively. Liberty has taken no prisoners in a lot of their games this season and have not held back when it comes to laying it down on bad opponents and I look for New Mexico State to be just another victim in this game. Give me Liberty in this one.

Liberty Flames Recap

The Liberty Flames come into this game looking to add on to their 49-10 win over FIU last time out to sit at 7-1 this season. After this game, Liberty will head home for a game against Middle Tennessee. Deshawn Purdie has thrown for 1,453 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 1 interception while completing 63.2% of his passes to lead the Liberty passing attack, backed by 96 completions on 152 attempts, with Jaylen Henderson providing supplemental support via 131 passing yards and 2 scores on 9 completions. The Flames’ ground game is spearheaded by Kam Davis, who rushes for 603 yards and 7 touchdowns on 87 carries, followed closely by Peyton Jones with 330 yards and 1 score on 72 carries, Jaylon Coleman adding 280 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns on 31 attempts, Terron Kellman chipping in 154 yards and 2 scores on 30 carries, and Deshawn Purdie adding 134 yards on 45 rushing attempts. Through the air, Makai Jackson leads the receiving corps with 626 yards and 5 touchdowns on 29 catches, while Jamari Person adds 253 yards and 2 scores on 17 receptions, Darius Copeland logs 169 yards and 1 score on 12 receptions, Jaylon Coleman adds 109 yards and 1 score on 9 receptions, and Bryce Randolph rounds out key targets with 103 yards and 1 score on 8 receptions. Defensively, Derrell Farrar anchors the Liberty squad by logging a team-high 43 total tackles. Altogether, the Flames’ defensive unit has combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 13 sacks, 83 yards lost, and no pass deflections while also coming away with 1 total interception.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

• Liberty has won each of its last seven games.
• New Mexico State has lost each of its last four home games in November.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of New Mexico State’s last seven games.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
• Liberty has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of New Mexico State’s last eight games.

New Mexico State Aggies Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to shake off their 24-0 loss at the hands of Jacksonville State last time out to sit at 3-5 this season. After this game, New Mexico State will head on the road for a game against Missouri State. Trey Hedden has thrown for 906 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions while completing 52.4% of his passes to lead the New Mexico State passing attack, backed by 65 completions on 124 attempts, with Adam Damante providing supplemental support via 660 passing yards and 6 scores on 69 completions. The Aggies’ ground game is spearheaded by James Jones, who rushes for 889 yards and 4 touchdowns on 139 carries, followed closely by TJ Washington Jr. with 274 yards and 3 scores on 61 carries, Dijon Stanley adding 69 rushing yards on 16 attempts, Jalen Brown chipping in 68 yards on 5 carries, and Isaiah Rudison adding 18 yards on 3 rushing attempts. Through the air, TK King leads the receiving corps with 307 yards and 3 touchdowns on 23 catches, while AJ Williams III adds 259 yards and 3 scores on 17 receptions, Josiah Thomas logs 248 yards on 19 receptions, Brodie Malone-Bradford adds 172 yards and 1 score on 15 receptions, and Terrione Graves rounds out key targets with 135 yards and 1 score on 5 catches. Defensively, Nick Session anchors the Aggies squad by logging a team-high 58 total tackles. Altogether, the Aggies’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 14 sacks, 83 yards lost, and no pass deflections while also coming away with 2 total interceptions.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• Liberty has lost four of its last five November games as a favorite.
• New Mexico State has won six of its last nine November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 November games as an underdog.
• Liberty has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games in November.
• The home team has won the first quarter in six of New Mexico State’s last eight games.
• New Mexico State has won the first half in 10 of its last 13 home games in November.