New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction Football Picks Today 10/21/26

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction for this College Football Week 8 matchup on Wednesday, October 21^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Sam Houston Bearkats Preview

Sam Houston has a 1-5 record and a 0-2 record in CUSA. They are coming off a 3-16 home loss against Western Kentucky and will face Missouri State and Jacksonville State next.

Offensively, Sam Houston averages 19.5 points per game, ranking 123rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.5 points per game, which is 74th. Sam Houston averages 342 total yards per game (247.0 passing and 95.0 rushing), while allowing 338.2 total yards per game (200.3 rushing and 137.8 passing).

Landyn Locke leads Sam Houston with 1,418 passing yards with 62.9% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Alton McCaskill leads the team in rushing yards with 211, while Chris Reed has a team-high 289 receiving yards and 17 receptions. Defensively, Dean Ford has a team-high 38 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Elijah Groves leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

New Mexico State has a 2-4 record and a 1-1 record in CUSA. They are coming off a 3-22 road loss against Florida International and will face Jacksonville State and Liberty next.

Offensively, New Mexico State averages 23.7 points per game, ranking 98th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.7 points per game, which is 85th. New Mexico State averages 373.3 total yards per game (230.5 passing and 142.8 rushing), while allowing 347.8 total yards per game (125.5 rushing and 222.3 passing).

Trey Hedden leads New Mexico State with 906 passing yards with 52.4% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. James Jones leads the team in rushing yards with 599, while Tyler King has a team-high 286 receiving yards and 20 receptions. Defensively, Nick Session has a team-high 50 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Gabe Peterson leads the team with 4.5 sacks.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Betting Trends: Week 8

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Landyn Locke has recorded the longest passing touchdown in a single game this season (94 yards vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Week 2).

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, James Jones leads the Conference USA for rushing yards (599) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sam Houston State ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.3).
• Sam Houston State ranks 136th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (6.3).
• New Mexico State ranks 127th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:08).
• New Mexico State ranks 124th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-3.5).

New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction

In this New Mexico State vs Sam Houston prediction, New Mexico State is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Both teams have been in very bad shape, as Sam Houston has won only once this season and has been atrocious offensively lately, having scored just 6 points in its last two games, while New Mexico State is 1-3 in its last 4 games, having scored just 3 points last week and 19 or less in three of their last four. I will not pick a side but given both teams’ offensive struggles I will go under the total in this one. Both teams’ last four games combined have gone under and all of their previous head-to-head meetings were also low-scoring ones. Take the under 44.5 points in this one.