UTEP Miners (2-9) vs. New Mexico State Aggies (3-8)
November 30, 2024 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico State Aggies -3 / UTEP Miners +3; Over/Under: +52
(Get latest betting odds)
The UTEP Miners and New Mexico State Aggies meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico State vs UTEP Pick.
UTEP Miners Betting Preview
The UTEP Miners beat Kennesaw State and lost to Tennessee. The UTEP Miners have lost 7 straight road games. Skyler Locklear is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,406 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Kenny Odom and Kam Thomas have combined for 1,154 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Trey Goodman has 43 receptions.
The UTEP Miners ground game is averaging 120.7 yards per contest, and Jevon Jackson leads the way with 675 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UTEP is allowing 32.1 points and 389.7 yards per game. Dorian Hopkins leads the UTEP Miners with 80 tackles, Maurice Westmoreland has 5.5 sacks and Amier Boyd-Matthews has 2 interceptions.
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies lost to Texas A&M and beat Middle Tennessee. New Mexico State has lost 3 of its last 4 home games. Parker Awad is completing 36.4 percent of his passes for 243 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. TJ Pride and PJ Johnson III have combined for 549 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Seth McGowan has 20 receptions.
The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 177 yards per contest, and Seth McGowan leads the way with 794 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 35.7 points and 460.4 yards per game. Tyler Martinez leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 88 tackles, Buddha Peleti has 4.5 sacks and Josiah Cox has 2 interceptions.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- UTEP has lost each of its last 11 road games in November.
- The favorite has won each of the last 11 games between UTEP and New Mexico State.
- New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last eight games in November.
- UTEP has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 15 November games as a road underdog.
- UTEP has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of New Mexico State’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of UTEP’s last 12 road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-6.9).
- New Mexico State ranks T131st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (7.5).
- UTEP ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.5).
- UTEP ranks 132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (68.0).
New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction
I’m not running to the window to back either of these losing teams that don’t cash tickets, but somebody has to win. I’ll lean toward the New Mexico State Aggies because they’re at home, and it’s senior night with a roster that has 20 seniors. New Mexico State has seen two of its three wins take place at home, and UTEP has lost 7 straight games on the road. Better options out there, but give me the New Mexico State Aggies if forced to pick.
