New Mexico vs Boise State
October 11, 2025 9:45 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State -16.5 / Over/Under: 60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction for this College Football Week 7 game on Saturday, October 11th at the Albertsons Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Boise State Broncos Preview
The Boise State Broncos have a 3-2 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the MWC. They are 3-1-1 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-2 away record and 2-0 home record. The Broncos are coming off a 7-28 away loss against Notre Dame and are playing Nevada-Las Vegas and Nevada next.
Offensively, the Broncos average 32.2 points per game, which ranks 52nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 25.4 points per game, which is 79th. Boise State averages 479 total yards per game, with 196.8 rushing yards and 282.2 passing yards per game. They allow 348.4 total yards per game, with 162.2 rushing and 186.2 passing yards per game.
Maddux Madsen leads the Broncos with 1344 passing yards and 59.8% completed passes, adding 9 touchdowns. Dylan Riley leads the team in rushing yards, with 393, and 5 touchdowns, while Chris Marshall has a team-high 21 caught passes for 292 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Ty Benefield has a team-high 41 total tackles, 25 of them solo. Braxton Fely leads the Broncos in sacks, with 3.5, while Ty Benefield, Jeremiah Earby, A’Marion McCoy, Max Stege, and Travis Anderson each have one interception.
New Mexico Lobos Preview
The New Mexico Lobos have a 3-2 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the MWC. They are 3-2 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-2 away record and 2-0 home record. The Lobos are coming off a 28-35 away loss against San Jose State and are playing Nevada and Utah State next.
Offensively, the Lobos average 30 points per game, which ranks 62nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 24.2 points per game, which is 74th. New Mexico averages 396.8 total yards per game, with 154.4 rushing yards and 242.4 passing yards per game. They allow 391 total yards per game, with 119.8 rushing and 271.2 passing yards per game. Jack Layne leads the Lobos with 1162 passing yards and 69.5% completed passes, adding 7 touchdowns.
Damon Bankston leads the team in rushing yards, with 289, and 3 touchdowns, while Keagan Johnson has a team-high 26 caught passes for 326 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Jaxton Eck has a team-high 46 total tackles, 26 of them solo. Keyshawn James-Newby leads the Lobos in sacks, with 2.5, while Tavian Combs, CJ McBean, and Jon Johnson each have one interception.
New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, Boise State won 42-14 at home, and are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against New Mexico. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.
In this New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction, Boise State is coming as -16.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 60.5 points. Both teams have identical records, but Boise State has won and dominated both home games, winning by 33 and 37 points. The Broncos also dominate the Lobos in recent years, and I expect them to get the job done today at home in a comfortable fashion. Take Boise State and lay the -16.5 points at home.
Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Boise State -16.5
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