New Mexico vs Hawaii Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico vs Hawaii Prediction for this College Football Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 17^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

Hawaii has a 1-5 record and a 0-3 record in the MWC. They are coming off a 12-30 road loss against Arizona State and will face Northern Illinois and UTEP next.

Offensively, Hawaii averages 16.7 points per game, ranking 129th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.7 points per game, which is 87th. Hawaii averages 353.5 total yards per game (271.2 passing and 82.3 rushing), while allowing 390.5 total yards per game (170.3 rushing and 220.2 passing).

Micah Alejado leads Hawaii with 1,613 passing yards with 59.2% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. DeVon Rice leads the team in rushing yards with 304, while Kainoa Carvalho has a team-high 335 receiving yards and 29 receptions. Defensively, Kona Moore has a team-high 46 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Julian Smith leads the team with 2 sacks.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

New Mexico has a 4-1 record and a 1-0 record in the MWC. They are coming off a 61-7 home win against UTEP and will face North Dakota State and San José State next.

Offensively, New Mexico averages 43.4 points per game, ranking 5th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 10.6 points per game, which is 3rd. New Mexico averages 386.2 total yards per game (177.4 passing and 208.8 rushing), while allowing 255.6 total yards per game (100.8 rushing and 154.8 passing).

Toa Fa’avae leads New Mexico with 639 passing yards with 57.1% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. Scottre Humphrey leads the team in rushing yards with 332, while Bailen George has a team-high 218 receiving yards and 11 receptions. Defensively, Mercury Swaim and Jaxton Eck lead the team 25 total tackles each, while Brett Karhu leads the team with 4 sacks.

New Mexico Lobos @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• New Mexico has lost four of its last five October games as a road favorite.
• Hawaii has won each of its last five home games against teams from New Mexico.
• Hawaii has covered the spread in five of its last six games as a home underdog.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games in October.
• The underdog has won the first quarter in five of the last six games between New Mexico and Hawaii.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 road games in October.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite.
• Hawaii has lost five of its last six games.
• New Mexico has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
• Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• New Mexico has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of New Mexico’s last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Hawaii’s last six games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of New Mexico’s last six games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Sean Olvera-Harle ranks T8th amongst FBS players for made field goals (11) this season.

New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Tavian Combs ranks T4th amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii ranks 138th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (82.3).
• Hawaii ranks T135th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.3).
• New Mexico has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 30+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
• New Mexico has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).

New Mexico vs Hawaii Prediction

In this New Mexico vs Hawaii prediction, New Mexico is coming as -14.5 road favorites. Both teams have been on completely opposite trajectories this season, as New Mexico has lost only once and is a perfect 5-0 ATS, while on the other hand, Hawaii has won only once and is 2-4 ATS. New Mexico has the 5^th-best offense and the third-best defense in the entire country for a +32.8 point differential, while Hawaii has a bottom-10 offense and a -9 point differential. Do not overthink this one and take the superior team to get the job done. Take New Mexico and lay the -14.5 points on the road.