North Carolina vs Florida State 10/9/21 College Football Picks and Predictions
Florida State Seminoles (1-4) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (3-2)
October 9, 2021 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -17 / Florida State Seminoles +17; Over/Under: 64.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Carolina Tar Heels and Florida State Seminoles meet in a week 6 ACC college football contest from Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill on Saturday.
The Florida State Seminoles will look to build on their first win of the year after a 33-30 triumph over Syracuse last time out. McKenzie Milton’s thrown for 548 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 62.4% passing while Jordan Travis has 368 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 picks on 60% passing. Jashaun Corbin leads the Seminoles in rushing with 504 yards and 4 scores while Treshaun Ward has 285 rushing yards. Three different Seminoles have at least 100+ yards receiving while the defense is led by Jermaine Johnson II who has 38 total tackles and 5.5 sacks this season.
The North Carolina Tar Heels will look to add to their 38-7 rout of rival Duke last time out. Sam Howell’s thrown for 1,494 yards, 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 62.1% passing while also rushing for 288 yards. Ty Chandler leads the Tar Heels in rushing with 324 yards and 4 touchdowns while Josh Downs leads a talented UNC receiving group with 40 catches for 620 yards and 6 TDs this season. On defense, Jeremiah Gemmel leads UNC with 26 total tackles while Myles Murphy has a team-high 3 sacks this season.
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 8-21-3 ATS in their last 32 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record.
I get why the Tar Heels would be favored here after routing Duke and Florida State has not been imposing whatsoever so far this season. However, the Seminoles took it to Syracuse and have shown promise throughout the season like they did against Notre Dame. I just think this is too many points to give up to an FSU team that’s shown us they can compete. Give me FSU and the points.
