North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction Football Picks 10-21-23
North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0) vs Virginia Cavaliers (1-5)
2023-10-21 18:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: North Carolina Tar Heels -23.5 -- Over/Under: 56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Virginia Cavaliers and North Carolina Tar Heels meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Kenan Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers look for back-to-back wins to rebound from a 1-5 record. Virginia has lost 5 of its last 6 road games. Anthony Colandrea is completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 923 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Malik Washington and Malachi Fields have combined for 1,086 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Kobe Pace has 9 receptions. The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 99.5 yards per contest, and Perris Jones leads the way with 235 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 31.8 points and 379.8 yards per game. Jonas Sanker leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 53 tackles, Kam Butler has 3.5 sacks and Micah Gaffney has 1 interception.
Virginia Cavaliers Team Facts
- The favorite has won each of Virginia’s last nine games.
- Virginia has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- Five of Virginia’s last six games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels look for their fifth home win to remain undefeated on the season. North Carolina looks for its first 7-0 start since the 1997 season. Drake Maye is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 1,902 yards, 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Nate McCollum and J.J. Jones have combined for 746 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Kobe Paysour has 22 receptions. The North Carolina Tar Heels ground game is averaging 184.3 yards per contest, and Omarion Hampton leads the way with 658 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 21 points and 359.8 yards per game. Cedric Gray leads the North Carolina Tar Heels with 52 tackles, Kaimon Rucker has 6.5 sacks and Alijah Huzzie has 3 interceptions.
North Carolina Tar Heels Team Facts
- North Carolina has won each of its last eight matches at Kenan Memorial Stadium when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- North Carolina has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
- North Carolina has won the first quarter in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents at Kenan Memorial Stadium.
- Eight of North Carolina’s last 10 October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Carolina rank T18th among FBS teams for points per game this season (36.6).
- North Carolina rank T31st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (19.0).
Randy’s Pick
The North Carolina Tar Heels are obviously the better team, but they also don’t win comfortably, as five of their six wins have been decided by less than 20 points. Also, a letdown spot for UNC after a big win over Miami. The Virginia Cavaliers aren’t winning games and don’t do anything well on either side of the ball. However, Virginia lost to Boston College by 3 points on the road, lost to James Madison by one point and almost beat NC State. While the numbers are ugly, a bounce here or there and Virginia is sitting in a much better position. Lots of points here. Give me the Cavs and the free touchdowns.