College Football

North Dakota State vs Nevada Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

Nevada Wolf Pack (2-3) vs. North Dakota State Bison (5-1)
October 17, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: North Dakota State Bison -14.5 / Nevada Wolf Pack +14.5; Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Nevada Wolf Pack and the North Dakota State Bison meet in week 7 college football action from the Fargodome on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nevada Wolf Pack vs. North Dakota State Bison Prediction.

Nevada Wolf Pack Recap

The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game looking to add on to their 30-13 win over UTEP last time out to sit at 2-3 this season. After this game, Nevada will head home for a game against San Jose State.

Wolf Pack Snap Three-Game Slide

Carter Jones has thrown for 654 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 59.6% passing while Dominic Kelley leads Nevada in rushing with 440 yards and 4 touchdowns. Herschel Turner sits behind Kelley on the ground with 426 yards and 4 touchdowns. Gary Givens III leads the Wolf Pack in receiving with 210 yards and 12 catches, while Damien Morgan trails with 145 yards and 24 catches. On defense, EJ Smith has a team-high 59 tackles while Nevada’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and an interception.

North Dakota State Bison Recap

The North Dakota State Bison come into this game looking to rebound from a 13-7 loss at the hands of UNLV to fall to 5-1 this season. After this game, North Dakota State will head on the road for a game against New Mexico.

Bison Looking To Bounce Back After Marquee Loss

Nathan Hayes has thrown for 1,119 yards, 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 63.0% passing while DJ Scott leads North Dakota State in rushing with 306 yards and 4 touchdowns. Myles Mitchell sits behind Scott on the ground with 305 yards and 3 touchdowns. Jackson Williams leads the Bison in receiving with 374 yards and 23 catches along with a touchdown, while Reis Kessel trails with 180 yards and 15 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Donovan Woolen has a team-high 46 tackles while North Dakota State’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 9 interceptions.

Nevada Wolf Pack @ North Dakota State Bison Betting Trends: Week 7

 

Why the North Dakota State Bison will win

  • Nevada has lost each of its last six October games as an underdog.
  • North Dakota State has won five of its last six games.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of North Dakota State’s last three games.
  • North Dakota State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games.
  • Nevada has lost the first half in each of its last five October games as an underdog.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

  • The road team has won three of Nevada’s last four games.
  • Nevada has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a road underdog.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Nevada’s last seven road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of North Dakota State’s last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.

North Dakota State Bison Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, DJ Scott leads North Dakota State for touchdowns (4) this season.

Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Dominic Kelley leads Nevada for touchdowns (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • North Dakota State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.5).
  • North Dakota State ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (124.5).
  • Nevada ranks 137th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (84.6).
  • Nevada ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.2).

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. North Dakota State Bison Prediction

I’m on North Dakota State here. I just am not a fan of this Nevada team and while the walls could start falling down around North Dakota State after their first loss at the FBS level and probably ripping away their college football playoff hopes in the process, the Bison have done well against inferior compeition and I don’t see the Wolf Pack posing a threat here. Give me North Dakota State in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: North Dakota State Bison -14.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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