Charlotte 49ers (0-5) vs. North Texas Mean Green (3-2)
October 10, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas Mean Green -4500 / Charlotte 49ers 1700; Over/Under: 57.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a North Texas vs Charlotte prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 10th at DATCU Stadium in Denton, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green are 3-2 (1-0) this year after they defeated Tulsa in overtime by a score of 45-44 last week. North Texas trailed 17-10 at halftime, but they blew a 14-point lead in the second half, before winning on a stopped two point conversion in overtime. The Mean Green out gained Tulsa by a total of 559-352, went 8-19 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Tayven Jackson threw for 332 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Max Reese caught five passes for 101 yards and one score. Jahiem White rushed 32 times for 219 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, North Texas defeated Houston Christian by a score of 63-14, but lost to Texas State by a score of 49-35 before that. The Mean Green have scored 40.6 points per game with 340.0 passing yards and 184.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 33.0 points against per game this season. Tayven Jackson has thrown for 1,519 yards with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions this year.
Charlotte 49ers Betting Preview
The Charlotte 49ers are 0-5 (0-1) this season after they lost to Memphis by a score of 59-8 last week. Charlotte trailed 24-0 at halftime and they allowed 35 points in the second half in the ugly loss. The 49ers were out gained by a total of 674-209, went 1-10 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-0 in the game. Cole Gonzales threw for 73 yards and one interception, while Derrick Eley caught one pass for 36 yards. Henry Rutledge rushed six times for 111 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, Charlotte lost to ULL by a score of 34-7 and App State by a score of 26-21. The 49ers have scored 17.2 points per game with 180.0 passing yards and 110.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 40.6 points against per game this season. Cole Gonzales has thrown for 802 yards with three touchdowns and seven interceptions this season.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- Charlotte has lost each of its last 14 games.
- North Texas has won each of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Charlotte has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in October.
- North Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last six home games.
- The favorite has won the first half in each of Charlotte’s last nine games.
Why the Charlotte 49ers will win
- Charlotte has won four of its last five games in Texas.
- North Texas has lost three of its last four home games in October.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of Charlotte’s last 12 games.
- North Texas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Texas’ last eight games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Charlotte’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Jahiem White ranks 3rd amongst FBS players for touchdowns (10) this season.
Charlotte 49ers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Jaden Barnes ranks T3rd in the American Conference for receptions (26) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks 5th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (340.0).
- North Texas ranks T5th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (134).
- Charlotte has lost the first quarter in each of its last four games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Charlotte has lost the third quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
North Texas vs Charlotte Prediction
Charlotte comes into this matchup with an 0-5 record and they just allowed 59 points to Memphis at home last week. The 49ers are one of the worst teams in the country and they have allowed 34+ in four of their five games. North Texas has won three of their last four games and they have scored 35+ in four straight games. Take the Mean Green to cover this big spread at home behind another strong offensive effort.
