UL Monroe Warhawks (3-1) vs. Northwestern Wildcats (2-2)
October 4, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats -11 / UL Monroe Warhawks 11; Over/Under: 0.0001
(Get latest betting odds)
The UL Monroe Warhawks and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Northwestern Medicine Field. Here’s a Northwestern vs UL Monroe Prediction. This article will include a Northwestern vs UL Monroe Pick.
UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview
The UL Monroe Warhawks beat UTEP and Arkansas State, and they play Coastal Carolina next. The UL Monroe Warhawks have split their last 6 games. Aidan Armenta is completing 57.9 percent of his passes for 434 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jake Godfrey and Tyler Griffin have combined for 202 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jonathan Bibbs has 6 receptions.
The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 217.8 yards per contest, and Braylon McReynolds leads the way with 317 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 28.5 points and 365.3 yards per game. Noah Flemmings leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 23 tackles, Dylan Howell has 4 sacks and Cliff Mosley has 1 interception.
Northwestern Wildcats Betting Preview
The Northwestern Wildcats lost to Oregon, beat UCLA, and they play Penn State next. The Northwestern Wildcats have lost 7 of their last 10 games. Preston Stone is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 656 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Griffin Wilde and Hunter Welcing have combined for 388 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Ricky Ahumaraeze has 4 receptions.
The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 183.5 yards per contest, and Caleb Komolafe leads the way with 269 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 19.5 points and 321.5 yards per game. Robert Fitzgerald leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 36 tackles, Carmine Bastone has 1.5 sacks and Mac Uihlein has 2 interceptions.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks @ Northwestern Wildcats Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Northwestern Wildcats will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 11 road games in October.
- Northwestern has won each of its last nine October games as a favorite.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Louisiana-Monroe’s last eight games.
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 30 of its last 32 road games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has won each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Northwestern has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six home games in October.
- Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in three of its last four October games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Louisiana-Monroe’s last eight games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Northwestern’s last four October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Northwestern Wildcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Caleb Komolafe leads Northwestern for touchdowns (2) this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Dylan Howell leads the Sun Belt Conference for sacks (4.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Northwestern has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Northwestern has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (125.5).
Northwestern vs UL Monroe Prediction
Northwestern is the more talented team, but I’m still not laying double-digit chalk with a squad that struggles to produce offense. Northwestern has scored 17 or fewer points in 3 of its 4 games, and barely beat an awful UCLA squad. Northwestern is also 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games as a double-digit favorite.
UL Monroe obviously has issues of its own and has taken advantage of a soft schedule, but it can strop the run and did outright win two games last year as a double-digit underdog, for whatever that’s worth. Northwestern just hasn’t been the same since the Pat Fitzgerald glory days about a decade ago. It’s Monroe and the points or pass for me.
