Ohio vs Bowling Green Prediction Football Picks Today 9/27/25
Bowling Green Falcons (2-2) vs. Ohio Bobcats (2-2)
September 27, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ohio Bobcats -8.5 / Bowling Green Falcons +8.5; Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Bowling Green Falcons and the Ohio Bobcats meet in week 5 college football action from Peden Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ohio Bobcats prediction.
Bowling Green Falcons Recap
The Bowling Green Falcons come into this game looking to rebound from their 40-17 loss at the hands of Louisville last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, the Falcons will head home for a game against Toledo.
Falcons Looking For Consistency
Drew Pyne threw for 660 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Kaderris Roberts has 172 rushing yards to lead Bowling Green on the ground. Cameron Pettaway has 140 rushing yards and Chris McMillian has 137 rushing yards as well this season. Jyrin Johnson has 159 rushing yards and a touchdown while RJ Garcia II has 134 receiving yards and 13 grabs so far this season. Finn Hogan also has 114 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Gideon Lampton has a team-high 33 total tackles along with 1.5 sacks while Eriq George has a pair of sacks and David Afogho has 1.5 sacks as well. As a unit, Bowling Green’s defense has combined for 10 sacks and a pair of interceptions so far this season.
Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win
- Bowling Green has won each of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- Bowling Green has covered the spread in each of its last six games as an underdog.
- Ohio has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine September games as a home favorite.
Ohio Bobcats Recap
The Ohio Bobcats come into this game looking to add on to their 52-35 win over Gardner Webb last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, Ohio will head on the road for a game against Ball State.
Bobcats Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Parker Navarro has thrown for 870 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.7% passing while also rushing for 255 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Sieh Bangura has a team-high 299 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Duncan Brune has 158 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Chase Kendricks has a team-high 28 receptions for 456 yards and 3 touchdowns to lead Ohio’s receiving group. On defense, Michael Molnar has a team-high 31 total tackles and 1.5 sacks while Michael Mack II has a pair of interceptions and Anas Luqman has a pair of sacks. As a unit, Ohio’s defense has combined for 6 sacks and 4 interceptions this season.
Why the Ohio Bobcats will win
- Ohio has won each of its last nine games at Peden Stadium.
- Bowling Green has lost 18 of its last 20 road games in September.
- Ohio has covered the spread in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games at Peden Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Bowling Green’s last six September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Ohio’s last four games against teams from Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ohio Bobcats Prediction
I’m on Bowling Green and the points here. I just haven’t been impressed with Ohio as of late, and while they’ve owned the matchup over the last couple of seasons, I think that Bowling Green can be competitive here as they went toe-to-toe with the likes of Cincinnati and Louisville and have an outright win at home over Liberty. I think Bowling Green can ugly this game up enough to keep it within the number so give me Bowling Green and the points here.