Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-5)
October 18, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys 21.5 / Cincinnati Bearcats -21.5; Over/Under: 57.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Bearcats and Oklahoma State Cowboys meet Saturday in college football action at Boone Pickens Stadium. Here’s a Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati Pick.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats beat Iowa State and UCF, and they play Baylor next. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won 5 straight games. Brendan Sorsby is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 1,448 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Caleb Goodie and Cyrus Allen have combined for 548 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jeff Caldwell has 16 receptions.
The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 190.2 yards per contest, and Evan Pryor leads the way with 349 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 19.2 points and 383.7 yards per game. Jake Golday leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 55 tackles, Jack Dingle has 2 sacks and Christian Harrison has 5 pass deflections.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys lost to Arizona and Houston, and they play Texas Tech next. Oklahoma State has lost 5 straight games. Zane Flores is completing 55 percent of his passes for 696 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Gavin Freeman and Rodney Fields Jr. have combined for 391 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Shamar Rigby has 12 receptions.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys ground game is averaging 124.5 yards per contest, and Rodney Fields Jr. leads the way with 257 yards on 55 carries. Defensively, Oklahoma State is allowing 36.7 points and 475.8 yards per game. Bryan McCoy Jr. leads the Oklahoma State Cowboys with 40 tackles, Wendell Gregory has 3 sacks and Kale Smith has 1 interception.
Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win
- Oklahoma State has won each of its last four October games as a home underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Cincinnati has lost three of its last four road games.
- Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against teams from Oklahoma.
- Oklahoma State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games against AP-ranked teams.
Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win
- Oklahoma State has lost each of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
- The team ranked 24th in the AP Poll has won seven of its last eight games.
- Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
- The team ranked 24th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in 10 of its last 13 games.
- Oklahoma State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Cincinnati’s last 10 October games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Oklahoma State’s last four games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Zane Flores has the most pass attempts without a passing touchdown this season (140).
Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Brendan Sorsby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (0.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oklahoma State has lost the second quarter in each of its last five games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Oklahoma State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (23.3).
- Cincinnati ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (24:09).
- Cincinnati ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati Prediction
There’s a clear talent gap between these teams, and Oklahoma State is downright awful on both sides of the ball. It often looks like Oklahoma State doesn’t want to be on the field most games. Oklahoma State is also 1-5 ATS on the season and has failed to cover 7 of its last 9 games as a double-digit underdog.
In the four games this season where Oklahoma State is a double-digit underdog, it’s lost by an average of 33.5 points. It’s impossible to back OK State with confidence. It’s a big number for a road team, and I’m not a fan of the hook on top of a key number, but if I’m getting involved in this spot, I’m backing Cincinnati in a blowout.
